(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Southend United
Colin Scott
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Onel Rönnlund 15 2 17 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Ludwig Süle 14 2 16 Sw Gilbert Tchato 15 2 17
Df Walter Hamisu 15 2 17 Df Eric Kompany 13 2 15
Df Ibrahim Aggrey 14 2 16 Df Lars Koster 12 2 14
Df Joan Hierro 10 2 12 Df Aymen Mansour 9 2 11
Mf Arthur Goodwin 17 2 19 Mf Ludwig Troell 13 1 14
Mf Issa Daouda 8 2 10 Mf Quentin Meunier 10 2 12
Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15 Fw Marek Grabara 14 2 16
Fw Martyn Palmer 12 2 14 Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18
Fw Victor Pino 8 2 10 Fw Franco Almada 10 2 12
Fw Felix Jimenez 7 2 9 Fw Marco Trapp 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 16 45 29 48 ROSTER TOTALS 18 17 40 26 58
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 16 45 29 57 T O T A L S 21 17 40 26 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.01 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.84 (no red card)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.32 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.58 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.62 (no second yellow)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.17 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.75 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.26 (no red card)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.04 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.61 (no red card)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.03 (no second yellow)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 57.34 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.79 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.11 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.68 (no red card)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.65 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.82 (no second yellow)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.23 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.18 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.76 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.81 (no red card)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.65 (no injury)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.99 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.95 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.8 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.69 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.33 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.92 (no injury)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.47 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Martyn Palmer is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.34 (no injury)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.64 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 90.34 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.73 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.93 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.77 (no injury)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.25 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.94 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.83 (no injury)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.33 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 15
intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 17 16 45 29 57
Southend United 21 17 40 26 58
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 17 (57 - 40); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 60.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 83.27 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 42.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 17 40 26 58
Preston North End FC 17 16 45 29 57
Southend United Fw Attacks = 13 (58 - 45); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 0
Match Notes
I-Man at home in the cup. Colin better have his lads ready early — Preston won't be hanging about at Deepdale.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ May 30 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
Emm, what are the chances of getting to a semifinal and not having played at home.
~ Colin ~ May 30 (Southend United)
I-Man grinding out a 1-0 in the Cup. Evil Empire doing Evil Empire things. Colin's long trip down from Lesmahagow ends with nowt to show for it.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 6 (Blyth Spartans AFC)