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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Okafor             8    2   10     Gk Emilio Jimenez          7    2    9
Sw Ibra Gueye             11    2   13     Sw DongHyun Young-min     14    2   16
Df Mbaye Dieng            16    1   17     Df Federico Zanetti       13    1   14
Df Pieter Willems          8    2   10     Df Ali Chukwu              7    2    9
Df Rex Murphy              4    2    6     Df Dariusz Kaminski        3    2    5
Mf Paul Simons             7    2    9     Mf Boris Perisic           7    2    9
Mf Roberto Garrido         3    2    5     Mf Ogunsakin Okafor        4    2    6
Fw Ederson Fabinho        14    2   16     Mf William Ejide           3    2    5
Fw Ghaith Abid             8    2   10     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        20    2   22
Fw Mohcine Youssef         4    2    6     Fw Michaël Fellaini        9    0    9
Fw Owen Chamberlain        4    2    6     Fw Noman Sellimi           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 33 14 38        ROSTER TOTALS       9 16 28 20 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 13 33 14 38         T O T A L S        9 16 28 20 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.01 (no red card)

Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.25 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.12 (no red card)

Df Rex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.78 (no red card)

Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.12 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.9 (no red card)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.14 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.45 (no red card)

Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.77 (no red card)

Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.64 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.6 (no red card)

Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.28 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.88 (no red card)

Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)

Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.95 (no red card)

Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.05 (no red card)

Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.15 (no red card)

Mf William Ejide: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.1 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.88 (no injury) 
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.48 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.45 (no injury) 
Df Rex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.43 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.96 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.6 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.82 (no injury) 
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.0 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Emilio Jimenez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury) 
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.45 (no injury) 
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.83 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Ali Chukwu is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ali Chukwu new match skill level =  4
      Ali Chukwu new match total level =  6
Df Dariusz Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.19 (no injury) 
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ogunsakin Okafor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no injury) 
Mf William Ejide: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.51 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.44 (no injury) 
Fw Noman Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Emilio Jimenez SL 7

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 8

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        10  13  33  14  38
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9  16  25  20  37

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 13 (38 - 25); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mohcine Youssef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Owen Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 58.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Owen Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 34.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9  16  25  20  37
  Nottingham Forest        10  13  33  14  38

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 4 (37 - 33); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((20 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Michaël Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
OLMEC doesn't recognize the youth requirements for this one. We'll have ~75 combined!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/08 - 1:11 PM  
Beerman says he's like water — adaptable, unpredictable. Mate, your fans just want promotion, not a philosophy lecture. Olmec Steve will have Forest ready to drown him.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/08 - 6:31 PM  
B-Squared wanted promotion for Christmas. Might have to settle for a cup run instead. Forest looked flat and Olmec Steve won't be happy about that.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/13 - 6:30 PM  
Good luck in the next round, Brian. We're doomed now and need to concentrate on developing the youth players
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/13 - 6:57 PM  
Thank you Steve. We were lucky here - this could have easily gone your way.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/13 - 11:21 PM  
 
 
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