(N)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Southend United
Colin Scott
Youth Cup Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 8 2 10 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Ramires Jesus 13 2 15 Df Eric Kompany 10 2 12
Df Nicola Panucci 8 2 10 Df Aymen Mansour 7 2 9
Df Kyria Brozovic 4 2 6 Df Mario Egli 7 2 9
Mf Minato Morishima 7 2 9 Mf Quentin Meunier 8 2 10
Mf Ousmane Laforest 4 2 6 Mf Leo Gaillot 4 2 6
Mf Joon Jung-hwan 3 2 5 Mf Seol Sun 3 2 5
Df Jordan Pérez 10 2 12 Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 2 17 Fw Cássio Lemos 16 2 18
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 8 2 10 Fw Franco Almada 8 2 10
Fw Agustin Martinez 4 2 6 Fw Yvan Thijs 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 15 28 20 33 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 30 21 52
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 15 28 20 33 T O T A L S 21 0 30 21 52
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.83 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.97 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.21 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.76 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.66 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.38 (no red card)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.43 (no red card)
Df Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.95 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.84 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.4 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 96.94 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.87 (no red card)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.51 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.07 (no second yellow)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.8 (no red card)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.94 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.59 (no red card)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.13 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 73.11 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.57 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.06 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.26 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.07 (no injury)
Mf Joon Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.6 (no injury)
Df Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.49 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Emmanuel Krzynówek is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Emmanuel Krzynówek new match skill level = 8
Emmanuel Krzynówek new match total level = 10
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.11 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.35 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 25.62 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.22 (no injury)
Df Aymen Mansour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.78 (no injury)
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury)
Mf Quentin Meunier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.82 (no injury)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Leo Gaillot is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Leo Gaillot new match skill level = 2
Leo Gaillot new match total level = 4
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.1 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.49 (no injury)
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.31 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.64 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 10
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 8
intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 13 15 28 20 26
Southend United 21 0 30 19 52
Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 30)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 19) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Joon Jung-hwan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 1.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 21 0 30 19 52
Carlisle United 13 15 28 20 26
Southend United Fw Attacks = 24 (52 - 28); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Df Eric Kompany
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 76.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
24: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 89.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 3
Match Notes
That worked out well - cheers, Dave.
Colin (Southend United) 02/21 - 6:10 PM