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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
FA Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          16    2   18     Gk John Kosowski          14   -2   12
Sw Nazariy Kozak          12    1   13     Sw Ricardo Xavier          9    2   11
Df Cássio Alisson         15    2   17     Df Philippe Fabinho       14    0   14
Df Jeff Gallagher         14    1   15     Df Christian Hennessey    14    0   14
Mf Damian Nabbout         13    2   15     Df Kazu Fukunishi         13    2   15
Mf Imed Ahmed             13    2   15     Df Maciek Szymanski       12    2   14
Fw Roberto Bonano         17    2   19     Mf Victor Moreira         13    2   15
Fw Héctor Vasquez         13    2   15     Mf Paul Mahamat           15    2   17
Fw Shinya Soma            13    2   15     Fw Miguel Díaz            15    2   17
Fw Gregorio Caballero     12    2   14     Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    2   15
Fw Amadou Wagué           10    2   12     Fw Claudio Zappi          12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 13 32 30 75        ROSTER TOTALS      12 11 57 32 46    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 13 32 30 75         T O T A L S       15 14 57 32 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 48.65 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.55 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.89 (no red card)

Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.7 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.63 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.54 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.44 (no red card)

Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.89 (no red card)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.51 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.41 (no red card)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.03 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.5 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.45 (no red card)

Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.5 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.53 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.5 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.7 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.99 (no red card)

Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.61 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.12 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no red card)

Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 91.65 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.17 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.42 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Gallagher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.94 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.73 (no injury) 
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.91 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.95 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.51 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.43 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.89 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.26 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.43 (no injury) 
Df Philippe Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.92 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.89 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.66 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.65 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.77 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.78 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.53 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.6 (no injury) 
Fw Claudio Zappi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roberto Bonano SL 17
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 14

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Mahamat SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 21  13  32  30  75
  Brentford FC             15  14  57  32  46

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 18 (75 - 57); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 97.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 20.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 40.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             15  14  57  32  46
  Lewes FC                 21  13  32  30  75

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 14 (46 - 32); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Paul Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 25.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 85.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Claudio Zappi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 3  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
Brentford have the form but Lewes are a BIG team this season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/22 - 12:16 PM  2
Uphill climb here for our poor Bees...
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/22 - 11:34 PM  
What's the saying, "These two mangers do NOT like each other."
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/23 - 4:19 PM  
I predict that neither manager will finish the game on the touchline...
Paul (Sheffield United) 02/26 - 2:22 PM  
I expect Al to pull out all the stops.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/28 - 3:12 PM  1
Unfortunately I also expect Al to pull out all stops
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/28 - 4:51 PM  1
Another 4 game session for Lewes. Will Dave use his players here, or prioritise division 1 survival?
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/28 - 5:18 PM  
Meanwhile Al is struggling at both GK and SW positions. Lewes are likely to make another final either way.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 02/28 - 5:19 PM  
As expected here. Well done DD!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/28 - 10:24 PM  2
 
 
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