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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mohammed Zakari        16    2   18     Gk Muhammed Asamoah       14    0   14
Sw Lloyd Mills             5    2    7     Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo   4    2    6
Df Bruno Gomes             9    2   11     Df Mikkel Iversen         13    1   14
Df Mervyn Kinsella         5    2    7     Df Johnny Müller          12    2   14
Df Joseph Okoro            4    2    6     Df Kwadwo Danlad           8    2   10
Mf José Salvio             9    2   11     Df Federico Sorin          8    1    9
Mf Mario Arias             6    2    8     Mf Muziano Doni            8    2   10
Fw Robbie Murphy          16    2   18     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         8    2   10
Fw Chibuikem Thomas       13    2   15     Mf Enoch Gyan              4    2    6
Fw Kwadwo Djiku            9    2   11     Fw Stefan Ake              8    2   10
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo         4    2    6     Fw Roque Ramos             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  7 24 19 50        ROSTER TOTALS      14  6 47 26 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21  7 24 19 50         T O T A L S       14  6 47 30 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.96 (no red card)

Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.62 (no red card)

Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.98 (no red card)

Df Mervyn Kinsella: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.29 (no red card)

Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.26 (no red card)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.26 (no red card)

Mf Mario Arias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.12 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.81 (no red card)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.08 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)

Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.89 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.79 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.14 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.99 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.14 (no second yellow)

Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.15 (no red card)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.64 (no second yellow)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.83 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 76.41 (no injury) 
Sw Lloyd Mills: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.14 (no injury) 
Df Bruno Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.65 (no injury) 
Df Mervyn Kinsella: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.65 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Okoro: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.01 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.42 (no injury) 
Mf Mario Arias: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.47 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.86 (no injury) 
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.04 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.28 (no injury) 
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.4 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.88 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 80.19 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.58 (no injury) 
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.77 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.09 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.77 (no injury) 
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.31 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Robbie Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 14 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mikkel Iversen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          21   7  24  19  50
  Derby County             14   6  47  30  20

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 3 (50 - 47); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 2 ((24 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Bruno Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Joseph Okoro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             14   6  47  30  20
  Tranmere Rovers          21   7  24  19  50

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 24)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 6 ((30 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 84.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 48.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ezequiel Araujo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 1
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Tranmere Rovers Gk (Home): Mohammed Zakari SL 16

   - Derby County Gk (Away): Muhammed Asamoah SL 14

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Mohammed Zakari (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 1  :  DER - 0)

 Round 1: Muhammed Asamoah (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 19 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 1  :  DER - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Robbie Murphy (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 2  :  DER - 1)

 Round 2: Mikkel Iversen (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 2  :  DER - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Chibuikem Thomas (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 3  :  DER - 2)

 Round 3: Johnny Müller (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 85 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 3  :  DER - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Bruno Gomes (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 2)

 Round 4: Kwadwo Danlad (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 79 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 2)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 1
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
TRANMERE ROVERS 4  -  DERBY COUNTY 2
 
Match Notes
Ian generally knows the form of these two teams
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/12 - 6:49 PM
That was way too close for comfort.
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 07/15 - 4:15 PM
 
 
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