(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
AP Cup Final
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17
Sw Walter Olivera 16 -1 15 Sw Ramires Jesus 14 1 15
Df Joel Calvo 13 2 15 Df Eirwyn Davey 15 2 17
Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19 Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15
Df Abdul Otu 11 2 13 Df Marco Sa 9 0 9
Fw Arthur Goodwin 13 2 15 Mf Marcus Teulet 12 2 14
Mf Tobias Graf 14 2 16 Mf Jacek Frankowski 10 2 12
Mf Milt Alvarez 12 2 14 Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 1 16
Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17 Fw Javier Gimenez 15 2 17
Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15 Fw Ki Seon-min 12 2 14
Fw Victor Pino 9 2 11 Fw Jordan Pérez 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
19 15 47 30 58 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 41 26 58
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
22 18 47 30 67 T O T A L S 20 15 41 26 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.32 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.39 (no red card)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.09 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.96 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.08 (no red card)
Fw Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.65 (no red card)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.66 (no red card)
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.56 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no second yellow)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.67 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.34 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.89 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.6 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.08 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.16 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.38 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.03 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.72 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Javier Gimenez new match skill level = 8
Javier Gimenez new match total level = 10
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.76 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.56 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.32 (no injury)
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.5 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.05 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no injury)
Fw Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no injury)
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.48 (no injury)
Mf Milt Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.38 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.34 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.39 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.79 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.26 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.4 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.97 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.35 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.91 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15
intRndPk = 83
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 18 47 30 67
Carlisle United 20 15 41 26 51
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 26 (67 - 41); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 7.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Milt Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 39.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 20.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 96.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 27.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 20 15 41 26 51
Preston North End FC 22 18 47 30 67
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 4 (51 - 47); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 67) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 72.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 43.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Hopefully Dave will be more focused on promotion to Division 2, than winning the AP Cup!
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/12 - 9:26 PM
Promotion? Wassat, then?
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/18 - 3:42 AM
It's a mismatch on paper, but they don't play games on paper.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 3:07 PM
Congrats I man
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/19 - 6:35 PM
The I-man runs away with another trophy!! Congrats!!
Abe (Leeds United) 07/20 - 3:30 AM
Nice piece of silverware for Ian. Unlucky Dave
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 07/20 - 10:36 AM
Well done, Ian. Our GK did his best to keep you out.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/22 - 12:13 AM