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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
Youth Cup Semifinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James           8    2   10     Gk Alexander Bach         16    2   18
Sw Randall Gutiérrez       7    2    9     Sw Toni Meyer             13    2   15
Df Zinedine Castex        13    2   15     Df Marek Murphy            9    2   11
Df Jonas Gomes             6    1    7     Df Léon Velardi            9    1   10
Df Luis Ballestro          4    2    6     Df Rory Kelly              4    2    6
Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo       5    0    5     Mf Andrej Kovac            9    2   11
Mf Stefan Karas            4    2    6     Mf Cesar Beto              5    2    7
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        14    2   16     Fw Sven Skog              15    2   17
Fw Jakub Fabianski        13    2   15     Fw Paolo Caccini           9    2   11
Fw Héctor Masis            6    2    8     Fw Danny Rose              4    2    6
Fw Salvatore De luca       4    2    6     Fw Eddie McBride           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10  9 28 11 45        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 27 18 40    
       0  0  0  5  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  9 28 16 45         T O T A L S       20 15 27 18 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.11 (no red card)

Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 40.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 97.49 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 27.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 48.83 (no red card)

Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 25.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card)

Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 23.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 7.85 (no red card)

Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 77.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 34.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 21.48 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 50.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 94.2 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 5.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 19.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 67.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 33.4 (no red card)

Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 27.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 56.09 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.91 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.35 (no red card)

Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.81 (no red card)

Df Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.2 (no red card)

Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)

Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.69 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.68 (no red card)

Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.21 (no red card)

Fw Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.48 (no red card)

Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 55.55 (no injury) 
Sw Randall Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 85.85 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.04 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury) 
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.6 (no injury) 
Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.48 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 6.01 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.47 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Alhassan Baffoe loses 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alhassan Baffoe new match skill level =  7
      Alhassan Baffoe new match total level =  9
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.87 (no injury) 
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 37.46 (no injury) 
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 81.12 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 88.22 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) 
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.11 (no injury) 
Df Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 55.08 (no injury) 
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 69.79 (no injury) 
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 30.78 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 69.47 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 0.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Sven Skog is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sven Skog new match skill level =  8
      Sven Skog new match total level =  10
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 69.79 (no injury) 
Fw Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 90.85 (no injury) 
Fw Eddie McBride: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 30.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zinedine Castex SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Marek Murphy SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 91 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   9  28  16  38
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    20  15  27  18  33

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (38 - 27); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 18) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 28.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 68.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 73.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    20  15  27  18  33
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10   9  28  16  38

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (33 - 28); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((18 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Andrej Kovac
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Paolo Caccini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paolo Caccini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Paolo Caccini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Gk (Home): Timothy James SL 8

   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Gk (Away): Alexander Bach SL 16

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Zinedine Castex (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 40 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 1  :  WES - 0)

 Round 1: Alexander Bach (WES) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 1  :  WES - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Jakub Fabianski (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 39 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 2  :  WES - 1)

 Round 2: Toni Meyer (WES) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 97 (PK BLOCKED!!) (OLA - 2  :  WES - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Timothy James (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 64 (PK BLOCKED!!) (OLA - 2  :  WES - 1)

 Round 3: Marek Murphy (WES) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 33 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 2  :  WES - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Randall Gutiérrez (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 46 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 3  :  WES - 2)

 Round 4: Léon Velardi (WES) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 36 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 3  :  WES - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Alhassan Baffoe (OLA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 46% | Random number = 62 (PK BLOCKED!!) (OLA - 3  :  WES - 3)

 Round 5: Andrej Kovac (WES) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (OLA - 3  :  WES - 4)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 4
 
Match Notes
I thank those who bet on my victory. But thesegulls are very big for us. And we probably won't have the same luck as against Nottingham Forest
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/19 - 8:07 AM
with six apps on the books Oldham have a slight advantage
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/19 - 1:36 PM
Plus we have never won a youth cup yet so why start for us this season!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/19 - 1:37 PM
Olmec will never allow it
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/19 - 1:37 PM
You can do it Vick!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 07/19 - 2:46 PM
Both teams vying for their first Youth Cup.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 07/19 - 3:14 PM
A lot of managers picking Antoine to win here...can Vick pull an upset?
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/19 - 5:23 PM
getting the injured Baffoes out of hospital to take a penalty kick may not have been wise.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/19 - 11:15 PM
justice was done at least in the end.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 07/19 - 11:15 PM
It wasn't the best who won. Too bad. Our youngsters are happy with their performance. (If I had known, I would have doubled the hardness points ;-) )
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/20 - 8:50 AM
 
 
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