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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15     Gk Rene Layún              9    0    9
Df Sion Davey             11    2   13     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han          3    2    5
Df Emir Sellimi           10    0   10     Df Vieira Mendes          11    2   13
Df Osvaldo Raphinha        7    2    9     Df Alex Graham            10    2   12
Df Edwin O'Doherty         3    2    5     Df Hugo Quintero           6    2    8
Mf Stefan Boniek          11    1   12     Df Andre Ngwa              6    2    8
Mf Jaromir Tokar           9    2   11     Mf Bertus De leeuw        11    1   12
Mf Patrice Djemba          6    2    8     Mf Harrison Harewood      10    1   11
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    1   14     Mf Nazariy Gusak           3    2    5
Fw Joel Zamora            11    2   13     Fw Torben Thygesen        12    2   14
Fw Slava Levchenko         6    2    8     Fw Teun Van der berg       3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 37 31 35        ROSTER TOTALS       9  5 41 28 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  2  5  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 37 33 42         T O T A L S       12  8 46 28 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.39 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.01 (no red card)

Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.07 (no red card)

Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.68 (no red card)

Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.96 (no second yellow)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.2 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.71 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.06 (no red card)

Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.59 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Rene Layún: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 33.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 66.36 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 0.6 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Seo-Jun Yo-han new match skill level =  2
      Seo-Jun Yo-han new match total level =  4

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.41 (no red card)

Df Alex Graham: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 64.7 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.36 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 80.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 43.56 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 15.58 (no red card)

Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 72.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.01 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 99.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.22 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 62.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.55 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 75.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.44 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) 
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.31 (no injury) 
Df Edwin O'Doherty: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.01 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 12.43 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 89.04 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.55 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 14.47 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 67.88 (no injury) 
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 53.39 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Rene Layún: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 8.91 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.04 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.62 (no injury) 
Df Alex Graham: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.41 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.87 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.86 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Rene Layún SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Torben Thygesen SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       18   0  37  33  42
  Dorchester Town          12   7  46  28  19

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 46)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 19) / 5); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Emir Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Emir Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Emir Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 85.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          12   7  46  28  19
  Crewe Alexandra FC       18   0  37  33  42

Crewe Alexandra FC is using Offside Trap!
Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 37)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((46 - 42) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Andre Ngwa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Crewe Alexandra FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
Already picking out must win games, so early in the season
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 05/26 - 8:09 AM
I think you will have a great chance with this game. Park the bus!
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/29 - 9:23 PM
A great 3 points for Crewe
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/02 - 9:37 AM
We got well beaten.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/05 - 10:08 PM
 
 
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