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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Charlie Cockayne       14    2   16     Gk Marcos Cruz            12    2   14
Sw Édouard Gning           9    2   11     Sw Geoffrey Pilkington    13    2   15
Df Pathé Sané             14    2   16     Df Aaron MacKay           13    0   13
Df Manuel Barnetta         9    2   11     Df André Bukari           10    0   10
Df Kazimierz Szczesny      6    2    8     Df Stephan Johansen       10    0   10
Mf Freddie Cockham        13    2   15     Fw Veselin Dudnyk         11    1   12
Mf Johnny Rieder           6    2    8     Mf Dries Onana            11    1   12
Fw Kian Clarke            13    2   15     Mf Henrik Kristensen       6    2    8
Fw Josh Watson            13    1   14     Fw Taylor Stevenson       13    1   14
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi        9    2   11     Fw Sven De Bruyne         10    1   11
Fw Paul Dumont             6    2    8     Fw Ichiro Sakai            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 11 35 23 48        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 33 20 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 35 23 57         T O T A L S       15 15 33 20 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.11 (no red card)

Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.52 (no red card)

Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.65 (no red card)

Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.0 (no red card)

Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.83 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.6 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card)

Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.69 (no red card)

Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card)

Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.19 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.11 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 97.91 (no red card)

Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.87 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.0 (no red card)

Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.86 (no red card)

Fw Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.02 (no red card)

Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.03 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.37 (no red card)

Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.67 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 4.33 (no injury) 
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.33 (no injury) 
Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.88 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury) 
Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.31 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.58 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.31 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) 
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.8 (no injury) 
Fw Yakubu Abdullahi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.0 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) 
Sw Geoffrey Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.92 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.05 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) 
Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Fw Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) 
Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.34 (no injury) 
Fw Sven De Bruyne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.91 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.01 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron MacKay SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 14

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        16  11  35  23  57
  Lewes FC                 15  15  33  20  45

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 24 (57 - 33); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 81.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Yakubu Abdullahi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 15  15  33  20  45
  Nottingham Forest        16  11  35  23  57

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 10 (45 - 35); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Veselin Dudnyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 7.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Veselin Dudnyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Sven De Bruyne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4  -  LEWES FC 0
 
Match Notes
Lewes didn't stand a chance thanks to Olmec
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/10 - 8:54 PM
 
 
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