(H)
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CHESTERFIELD FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Héctor Medrano 15 2 17 Gk Mads Frost 15 2 17
Sw Ricardo Gomes 12 0 12 Df Keita Hattori 13 1 14
Df Guillermo Barreto 14 0 14 Df Shoichi Morita 12 1 13
Df Yuriy Polishchuk 13 0 13 Df Oskar Qvist 9 1 10
Df Kevin Flachat 10 1 11 Df José Mendes 6 2 8
Mf Steen Clausen 13 0 13 Df Blaise Amiel 3 2 5
Mf Edwin O'Kelly 16 0 16 Mf Aidan Maddison 12 0 12
Mf Sung Yong 9 1 10 Mf Octavio Barbosa 6 2 8
Mf Dani Paqueta 9 1 10 Mf Jorim Geiger 3 2 5
Fw Mario Barrios 14 0 14 Fw Yassine Aloui 6 2 8
Fw Julio Morales 13 -2 11 Fw Trefor Lloyd 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 12 38 49 25 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 50 25 16
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
17 12 38 49 34 T O T A L S 17 0 58 25 16
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.58 (no red card)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.38 (no red card)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.07 (no red card)
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.44 (no second yellow)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.38 (no red card)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.94 (no red card)
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.77 (no red card)
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.11 (no red card)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card)
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.68 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.25 (no red card)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.92 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.35 (no red card)
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.89 (no red card)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.93 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.61 (no red card)
Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.54 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 17.46 (no injury)
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.99 (no injury)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.9 (no injury)
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.94 (no injury)
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.98 (no injury)
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.41 (no injury)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.74 (no injury)
Mf Sung Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.62 (no injury)
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.06 (no injury)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.7 (no injury)
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.24 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 71.17 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.65 (no injury)
Df Oskar Qvist: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.11 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.24 (no injury)
Df Blaise Amiel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.77 (no injury)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.87 (no injury)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.07 (no injury)
Mf Jorim Geiger: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.74 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.14 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Edwin O'Kelly SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Keita Hattori SL 13
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 15
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 17 12 38 49 34
Watford 17 0 58 25 16
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 58)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((49 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 8 ((38 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Df Yuriy Polishchuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Yuriy Polishchuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Guillermo Barreto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Sung Yong
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 0.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 17 0 58 25 16
Chesterfield FC 17 12 38 49 34
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 38)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 49) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 3 ((58 - 34) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Blaise Amiel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CHESTERFIELD FC 2 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
JT at Chesterfield with the usual tactical mystery box — could be five up front, could be a back ten, could be whatever his brother Alex suggested over breakfast.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/20 - 6:30 PM