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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            15    2   17     Gk Maciej Piechniczek     14    2   16
Df Nazariy Kozak           8    2   10     Sw Santiago Ramos         12    2   14
Df André Bukari           13    1   14     Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13
Df Shay Given             10    1   11     Df Gonçalo Cancelo        10    2   12
Df Aaron MacKay           10    0   10     Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12
Mf Faber Ruiz             13    0   13     Mf Luis Fati               9    2   11
Df Veselin Dudnyk         10    1   11     Fw Sebastian Zielinski    14    2   16
Mf Luis Jarquin            6    2    8     Fw Granit Wicky           13    2   15
Fw Justice Shorunmu       13    1   14     Fw Tim Scholz             16    2   18
Fw Taylor Stevenson       14    1   15     Fw Valentyn Shulga        10    2   12
Fw Jean Diouf              6    2    8     Fw Robbie Murphy           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 56 21 37        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 25 23 69    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  2  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 63 23 37         T O T A L S       17 14 25 23 69    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 24.97 (no red card)

Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.03 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.94 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.13 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.72 (no red card)

Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.87 (no red card)

Df Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.11 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.48 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.21 (no second yellow)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.75 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 87.86 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.84 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.66 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.18 (no red card)

Mf Luis Fati: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.12 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.38 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.32 (no red card)

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.2 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.38 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 45.71 (no injury) 
Df Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.81 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.14 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no injury) 
Mf Faber Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 
Df Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.53 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.06 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 57.47 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.64 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 40.81 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.74 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.41 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.52 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Fati: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.94 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.45 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.43 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Stevenson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tim Scholz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  63  23  37
  Tranmere Rovers          17  14  25  23  69

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 12 (37 - 25); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 69) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 57.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          17  14  25  23  69
  Lewes FC                 18   0  63  23  37

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 3 (69 - 63) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 2  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 0
 
Match Notes
Not an easier here
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/27 - 1:28 PM
 
 
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