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Saturday, June 3rd, 2023 - 11:48:51 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 44 // Landing
 
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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Killian Nicolle        17    2   19     Gk Toby Brides            14    2   16
Df Harley Cooper          13    2   15     Sw Diarmuid Conner        13    2   15
Df Juan Manuel Fuentes    13    2   15     Df Dante Berggren         15    2   17
Df Jack Walsh             10    2   12     Df Neo Lundström          12    2   14
Sw Archie Nicholson        8    0    8     Df Archie Rowe            11    2   13
Mf Alberto Mariani        12    2   14     Mf Martin Connolly        12    2   14
Mf Thomas Kennedy         10    2   12     Mf Ben Smith              11    2   13
Fw Evan Sutherland        13    2   15     Fw Nikolai Morozov        13    2   15
Fw Kian Brooks            13    2   15     Fw Raymond Hall           17    2   19
Fw Alistair Clemence      10    1   11     Fw Callum Brudenell       11    2   13
Fw Cooper Slater           8    2   10     Fw Wayne Hardy            10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  8 42 26 51        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 44 27 59    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  8 42 26 60         T O T A L S       19 15 44 27 59    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Killian Nicolle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.38 (no red card)

Df Harley Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.2 (no red card)

Df Juan Manuel Fuentes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.0 (no red card)

Df Jack Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card)

Sw Archie Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.32 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Mariani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.52 (no red card)

Fw Evan Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.28 (no red card)

Fw Kian Brooks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.04 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.19 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.48 (no second yellow)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Toby Brides: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 11.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.875% | Random number = 90.07 (no second yellow)

Sw Diarmuid Conner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 67.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Df Dante Berggren: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 0.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 98.53 (no second yellow)

Df Neo Lundström: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 61.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 51.03 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 35.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 66.27 (no red card)

Mf Martin Connolly: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 47.3 (no second yellow)

Mf Ben Smith: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 68.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 33.17 (no red card)

Fw Nikolai Morozov: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 78.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card)

Fw Raymond Hall: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 25.56 (no red card)

Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 16.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Fw Wayne Hardy: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 23.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 48.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Killian Nicolle: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 23.88 (no injury) 
Df Harley Cooper: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.26 (no injury) 
Df Juan Manuel Fuentes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.3 (no injury) 
Df Jack Walsh: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury) 
Sw Archie Nicholson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.88 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Mariani: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.21 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Kennedy: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.1 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Sutherland: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.3 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Brooks: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Clemence: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 80.15 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Slater: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.9 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 3
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Toby Brides: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.62 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Toby Brides is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Toby Brides new match skill level =  7
      Toby Brides new match total level =  9
Sw Diarmuid Conner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.54 (no injury) 
Df Dante Berggren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.46 (no injury) 
Df Neo Lundström: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.52 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.02 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Connolly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.41 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury) 
Fw Nikolai Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.05 (no injury) 
Fw Raymond Hall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury) 
Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.4 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Hardy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Harley Cooper SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Toby Brides SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Raymond Hall SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Killian Nicolle SL 17

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             19   8  42  26  60
  Southend United          12  15  44  27  59

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 16 (60 - 44); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Kian Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kian Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Alistair Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Alistair Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Kian Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Alistair Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Cooper Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Alistair Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Kian Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Evan Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alistair Clemence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Kian Brooks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          12  15  44  27  59
  Brentford FC             19   8  42  26  60

Southend United Fw Attacks = 17 (59 - 42); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Martin Connolly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Raymond Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 12.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Wayne Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 0.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Wayne Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Wayne Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Wayne Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 49.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Nikolai Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 42.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Raymond Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Raymond Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Raymond Hall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Southend own the series. We'll just hope to not lose by too much...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/13 - 1:24 AM
7 saves - MotM
Colin (Southend United) 05/13 - 7:13 PM
Fortunate to escape with a draw...
Allan (Brentford FC) 05/13 - 9:56 PM
 
 
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