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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Vukovic           14    1   15     Gk Valentin Lugn          11    0   11
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi         12    1   13     Sw Ludwig Süle            13    2   15
Df Pius Issa              13    0   13     Df Ibrahim Aggrey         14    2   16
Df Tyler Foden             9    2   11     Df Joan Hierro            10    2   12
Df Vitalik Shulga          3    2    5     Df Anders Jacobsen         6    2    8
Mf Pedro Vazquez          11    0   11     Mf Kazuo Kawashima        10    2   12
Mf Min-Jun Sung            6    2    8     Mf Carlos Nuñez            6    2    8
Fw Danylo Morozov         13    0   13     Fw Martyn Palmer          12    2   14
Fw Marcos Sánchez         12    0   12     Fw Gustavo da Rocha       10    2   12
Fw Farzan Vestergaard     15    0   15     Fw Fabrice Thabet          6    2    8
Fw Charlie King            6    2    8     Fw Felix Jimenez           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 29 19 48        ROSTER TOTALS      11 15 36 20 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 33 19 53         T O T A L S       12 15 36 20 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.24 (no red card)

Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.2 (no red card)

Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.47 (no red card)

Df Tyler Foden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.95 (no red card)

Df Vitalik Shulga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.19 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.05 (no red card)

Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.14 (no red card)

Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.35 (no red card)

Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no red card)

Fw Charlie King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.72 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 92.76 (no red card)

Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.64 (no red card)

Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.09 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.46 (no red card)

Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.21 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.28 (no red card)

Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.27 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.77 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.36 (no red card)

Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.35 (no injury) 
Sw Hamdi Trabelsi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.15 (no injury) 
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Foden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) 
Df Vitalik Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.55 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Vazquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.78 (no injury) 
Mf Min-Jun Sung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Fw Danylo Morozov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Danylo Morozov is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Danylo Morozov new match skill level =  7
      Danylo Morozov new match total level =  7
Fw Marcos Sánchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury) 
Fw Farzan Vestergaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.8 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.26 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 15.0 (no injury) 
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.92 (no injury) 
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.15 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.26 (no injury) 
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.38 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.18 (no injury) 
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.68 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.22 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.92 (no injury) 
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Farzan Vestergaard SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ibrahim Aggrey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 14

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15  13  33  19  47
  Preston North End FC     12  15  36  20  42

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 11 (47 - 36); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Marcos Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 63.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Marcos Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Marcos Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Marcos Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 96.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Danylo Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Charlie King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Farzan Vestergaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     12  15  36  20  42
  Plymouth Argyle FC       15  13  33  19  47

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 9 (42 - 33); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Kazuo Kawashima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
Boston Rob attacks, attacks, attacks — and I-Man's Evil Empire quietly absorbs and counters. Fascinating when an unstoppable force meets an unmovable cynicism.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/17 - 12:09 AM  
From Steve to Ian. Frying pan to Fire. And of course Ian is atop the table.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/23 - 2:53 PM  
Boston Rob with another clean sheet. All that attacking philosophy and somehow the back line did the heavy lifting today. I-Man will have seen worse days, but not many at Plymouth.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/23 - 6:30 PM  
2 goals, 3 points. Love it!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/30 - 2:37 PM  
 
 
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