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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eugene Vasilev          6    2    8     Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos      6    2    8
Sw Atsushi Oshima         13    0   13     Sw Lewis Kane              3    2    5
Df Eugene Goodwin         13    0   13     Df Kinzo Inui              9    0    9
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    0   10     Df Mark O'Byrne            3    2    5
Df Patrick LecLercq        3    2    5     Df Jeong Yong             10    2   12
Mf Isaac Juhlin           11    1   12     Mf Hywel James            10    0   10
Mf Rafal Karas            10    1   11     Mf Tijn Klaassen           7    1    8
Mf Thomas Jacobs           6    2    8     Fw Carlos Viana            9    0    9
Fw Gavin Wright           17    0   17     Fw Leonardo Alonso         6    2    8
Fw Dafydd Chapman         10    2   12     Fw Fabrice Ndi             6    2    8
Fw José Oliveira           6    2    8     Fw Benjamin Lemar          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8 13 28 31 37        ROSTER TOTALS       8  5 26 18 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8 13 28 31 46         T O T A L S        8  5 26 18 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.85 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.32 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.61 (no second yellow)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.04 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Cadwaladr Lewis new match skill level =  5
      Cadwaladr Lewis new match total level =  5

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.35 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.4 (no red card)

Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.41 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.26 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.35 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.09 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.13 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.07 (no red card)

Df Kinzo Inui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.82 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.15 (no red card)

Df Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)

Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.91 (no red card)

Mf Tijn Klaassen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.37 (no red card)

Fw Carlos Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.53 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.65 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.52 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Lemar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 5.09 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.61 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.76 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.73 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.4 (no injury) 
Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.27 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Jacobs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.29 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.63 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.79 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.64 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Kane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.38 (no injury) 
Df Kinzo Inui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.96 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.19 (no injury) 
Df Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.01 (no injury) 
Mf Tijn Klaassen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.53 (no injury) 
Fw Carlos Viana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.26 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.78 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.16 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Lemar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 6

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jeong Yong SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 6

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          8  13  23  31  46
  Cardiff City FC          8   5  26  18  30

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 20 (46 - 26); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((31 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 50.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Isaac Juhlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Jacobs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 31.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 44.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 13.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 72.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 56.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 2.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 62.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          8   5  26  18  30
  Bristol City FC          8  13  23  31  46

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 7 (30 - 23); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Carlos Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
We'll try to keep our unbeaten run against Cardiff going.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/07 - 12:37 AM
Youth needed to be part of this game and Bristol rightly took advantage of that and took the points no argument there
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/08 - 12:43 PM
 
 
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