(H)

Watford
James Tucker

Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Riccardo Di matteo 14 2 16 Gk Serhiy Mishchenko 5 2 7 Sw Saul Aquino 13 0 13 Sw Yarik Sidorenko 3 2 5 Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 14 1 15 Df Munir Hamdallah 5 2 7 Df Keita Hattori 10 2 12 Df Rivaldo da Silva 5 2 7 Mf Tin Perisic 15 1 16 Df Min-Seong Jung 3 2 5 Mf Callum Rowles 6 2 8 Df Aaron Turner 2 2 4 Fw Valerio Paredes 14 1 15 Mf Gonçalo da Rocha 4 2 6 Fw Edgar Jimenez 13 0 13 Mf Matthew Zalewski 3 2 5 Fw Claudio Prado 10 2 12 Fw Michaël Van der heijden 9 0 9 Fw Hakim Aboukhlal 8 1 9 Fw Dario Vasilj 6 2 8 Fw Djonno De boer 6 -1 5 Fw Fernando Guimarães 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 13 27 24 54 ROSTER TOTALS 7 5 23 11 22 0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 13 27 24 64 T O T A L S 7 5 23 11 22 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.58 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.85 (no red card) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.28 (no red card) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.21 (no red card) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.91 (no red card) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.03 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.19 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.01 (no red card) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.62 (no red card) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.32 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Serhiy Mishchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.43 (no red card) Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.06 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.72 (no second yellow) Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.45 (no red card) Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.69 (no red card) Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.09 (no red card) Df Aaron Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.44 (no red card) Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.86 (no red card) Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.23 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card) Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.55 (no red card) Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.99 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 23.02 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.89 (no injury) Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.58 (no injury) Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.56 (no injury) Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.14 (no injury) Mf Callum Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.15 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.77 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no injury) Fw Claudio Prado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.54 (no injury) Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.38 (no injury) Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Serhiy Mishchenko: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.75 (no injury) Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.62 (no injury) Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.95 (no injury) Df Rivaldo da Silva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.42 (no injury) Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.88 (no injury) Df Aaron Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.31 (no injury) Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.18 (no injury) Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.84 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.59 (no injury) Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.76 (no injury) Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.63 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Tin Perisic SL 15 - Defending Gk: Serhiy Mishchenko SL 5 intRndPk = 25 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 9 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 16 13 27 24 64 Swansea City AFC 7 5 23 11 22 Watford Fw Attacks = 41 (64 - 23); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 7 ((24 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 22) / 3); result rounded up Watford Total Attacks = 50 1: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Keita Hattori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 32.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Callum Rowles Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 66.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 24.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 19.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 90.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 86.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 23: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 62.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 49.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 32: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 28.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 36: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 38: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 15.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 41: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 56.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 42: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 31.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 43: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 44: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 45: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 46: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 95.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 47: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 48: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 49: Attack for Fw Claudio Prado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 50: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 7 5 23 11 22 Watford 16 13 27 24 64 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 27) Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 24) / 2; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 64) / 3; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 6 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0