(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Bako Klostermann 6 2 8 Gk Noah Okafor 6 2 8
Sw Andres Godin 3 2 5 Sw Martin Persson 7 2 9
Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14 Df Pieter Willems 6 2 8
Df William Kwadwo 6 2 8 Df Rex Murphy 3 2 5
Mf Cyril Chadli 8 2 10 Df Russell Taylor 2 2 4
Mf Leo Gaillot 6 2 8 Mf Paul Simons 6 1 7
Mf Seol Sun 6 2 8 Mf Bruno Freda 5 2 7
Fw Marek Grabara 13 2 15 Mf Roberto Garrido 3 2 5
Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18 Mf Rico Santambrogio 8 2 10
Fw Yvan Thijs 6 2 8 Fw Owen Chamberlain 3 2 5
Fw Jacob White 3 2 5 Fw Mohcine Youssef 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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8 5 22 26 46 ROSTER TOTALS 8 9 17 29 10
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
9 5 22 26 55 T O T A L S 8 12 21 29 10
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 28.5 (no red card)
Sw Andres Godin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.98 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.99 (no second yellow)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.89 (no red card)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.53 (no red card)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.18 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.01 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.62 (no red card)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.48 (no red card)
Fw Jacob White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.6 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.35 (no red card)
Sw Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.82 (no red card)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.41 (no red card)
Df Rex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.19 (no red card)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.64 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.59 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.95 (no red card)
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.28 (no second yellow)
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.95 (no red card)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.12 (no red card)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.67 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Bako Klostermann: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 6.69 (no injury)
Sw Andres Godin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.12 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.8 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.94 (no injury)
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.23 (no injury)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.45 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.82 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.27 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.8 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.22 (no injury)
Fw Jacob White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.55 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 22.04 (no injury)
Sw Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.0 (no injury)
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury)
Df Rex Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.51 (no injury)
Df Russell Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.25 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.08 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.64 (no injury)
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.93 (no injury)
Mf Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.81 (no injury)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.26 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 6
intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Rico Santambrogio SL 8
- Defending Gk: Bako Klostermann SL 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 9 5 22 26 55
Nottingham Forest 8 12 21 29 10
Southend United Fw Attacks = 34 (55 - 21); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 4 ((22 - 10) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 38
1: Attack for Df William Kwadwo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Jacob White
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 64.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 97.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 6.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Yvan Thijs
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 95.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
29: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
35: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
38: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 8 12 21 29 10
Southend United 9 5 22 26 55
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 22)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 26) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 55) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Bruno Freda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 4 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Olmec Steve making the trip down — always interesting when two Olmecs share a pitch context. Colin will have a plan. Whether it survives contact with Forest is another matter entirely.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/18 - 6:30 PM
Four nil. Olmec Steve will be staring at the ceiling in Ilkeston tonight wondering where it all went wrong. Colin quietly making a statement, I suspect.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/23 - 6:30 PM
My T11* was too good.
Colin (Southend United) 05/23 - 6:33 PM
* not my T11
Colin (Southend United) 05/23 - 6:33 PM