(H)
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Alexander Bach 15 2 17 Gk Kurt Östman 15 2 17
Sw Toni Meyer 13 2 15 Sw Édouard Gning 8 0 8
Df Radoslaw Kaminski 12 1 13 Df Mbaye Dieng 10 2 12
Df Goronwy Wright 10 2 12 Df Nour Zaroury 10 1 11
Df Marek Murphy 6 2 8 Df Nicomedes Martino 6 2 8
Mf Denis Fellaini 13 2 15 Df Jean Courtial 6 2 8
Mf Andrej Kovac 6 2 8 Mf Bruno Freda 10 1 11
Fw Sven Skog 12 0 12 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 6 2 8
Fw John Clarke 12 2 14 Mf Marwan Sforza 3 2 5
Fw Nii Mingle 12 2 14 Fw Óscar Vargas 9 0 9
Fw Paolo Caccini 6 2 8 Fw Ederson Fabinho 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 15 33 23 48 ROSTER TOTALS 17 8 39 24 17
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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18 15 33 23 57 T O T A L S 17 11 43 24 17
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============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.74 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 14.6 (no red card)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.42 (no red card)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.87 (no red card)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.44 (no red card)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.2 (no red card)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.99 (no red card)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.03 (no red card)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.52 (no red card)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.77 (no red card)
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.76 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.94 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.17 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.58 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.72 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.26 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.92 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.74 (no red card)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.44 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.49 (no red card)
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.22 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 68.7 (no injury)
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.29 (no injury)
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.92 (no injury)
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.76 (no injury)
Df Marek Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.46 (no injury)
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.24 (no injury)
Mf Andrej Kovac: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.99 (no injury)
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.33 (no injury)
Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury)
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.74 (no injury)
Fw Paolo Caccini: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.74 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 89.52 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.66 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.24 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.09 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.38 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.68 (no injury)
Mf Bruno Freda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.03 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.15 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Marwan Sforza is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Marwan Sforza new match skill level = 2
Marwan Sforza new match total level = 4
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.16 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.32 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Denis Fellaini SL 13
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15
intRndPk = 28
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 10
- Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 15 33 23 57
Nottingham Forest 17 11 43 23 17
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 14 (57 - 43); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((33 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 20
1: Attack for Df Marek Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Radoslaw Kaminski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw John Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 21.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw John Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw John Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Paolo Caccini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw John Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Sven Skog
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Paolo Caccini
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 17 11 43 23 17
Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 15 33 23 57
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 33)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 23) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
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F I N A L S C O R E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
matches against Forest are always tight so lets hope the home support can swing things in our favor
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/04 - 10:01 AM