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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Sheffield United
James Bucknall
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex Lauritsen          6    2    8     Gk Miljenko Sucic         14    1   15
Df Sim Young-gwon         13    2   15     Sw Raichi Nakamura        11    2   13
Df Pedro Romero           12    1   13     Df Ivan Rakitic           13    1   14
Df Luca Simons            12    2   14     Df David Vega             11    1   12
Df Min-Seong Joo-ho        7    2    9     Df Vladimir Kuhn           6    2    8
Mf Harold Thorne          13    2   15     Mf Ismaila Aminu          13    1   14
Mf Nazariy Gusak          14    2   16     Mf Ciriaco Bickel         10    2   12
Mf Marcos Gomez            6    2    8     Mf Jack Jedinak            6    2    8
Fw Luís Oliveira          12    2   14     Fw Pablo Ryan             10    1   11
Fw Mohamed Gharbi          9    2   11     Fw Lee Jin-hyeon           9    0    9
Fw Alexis Havet            6    2    8     Fw Aidan Brown             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 51 39 33        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 34 34 28    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  1  6  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 51 41 40         T O T A L S       15 13 35 40 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 6.7 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.9 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.41 (no red card)

Df Luca Simons: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.73 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Joo-ho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.93 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.97 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.08 (no second yellow)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.43 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.37 (no red card)

Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.81 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.21 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.7 (no red card)

Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.65 (no second yellow)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.84 (no red card)

Df David Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.12 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.37 (no red card)

Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.73 (no red card)

Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.66 (no red card)

Mf Jack Jedinak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card)

Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.12 (no red card)

Fw Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.25 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 41.81 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.89 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.39 (no injury) 
Df Luca Simons: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.58 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Joo-ho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.7 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.38 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.38 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.63 (no injury) 
Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.44 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.84 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 74.9 (no injury) 
Sw Raichi Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.78 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.83 (no injury) 
Df David Vega: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.34 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.54 (no injury) 
Mf Ismaila Aminu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.81 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Jedinak: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.81 (no injury) 
Fw Pablo Ryan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.15 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Jin-hyeon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.98 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nazariy Gusak SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 14

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ivan Rakitic SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alex Lauritsen SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          10   0  51  41  40
  Sheffield United         15  13  35  40  28

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 5 (40 - 35); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((41 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 5 ((51 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Pedro Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Pedro Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Sim Young-gwon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Marcos Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexis Havet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luís Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         15  13  35  40  28
  Dorchester Town          10   0  51  41  40

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Sheffield United is Playing For A Draw!
Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 51)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 1  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Mr. Shaw has had a good start to the season. I can’t see us changing that.
James (Sheffield United) 05/17 - 2:29 AM  
Started well James, the early leaders. We will need a strong performance and lineup.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/17 - 5:48 PM  
Andy Shaw keeps it tight, grinds it out. Sheffield United walking into that today. Don't be surprised if it's one nil and Shaw's smiling.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/18 - 6:30 PM  
Andy Shaw setting up to frustrate Sheffield United and grind out a one-nil. Statistically sound approach, though I suspect the Blades have seen that particular film before.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/20 - 6:30 PM  
This Sheffield defense is impressive
Dave (Lewes FC) 05/23 - 12:47 PM  
That’s a big result for us keeping us in mid table. Not many chances created.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 05/24 - 6:03 PM  
Well done Andy! Was hoping to grind out a 0-0.
James (Sheffield United) 05/30 - 2:08 PM  
 
 
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