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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Yassine Amara          12    2   14     Gk Ethan Maddison         15    2   17
Sw Gilbert Tchato          6    2    8     Df Cássio Alisson         11    1   12
Df Mauricio López         13    2   15     Df Shay Given             11    1   12
Df Johan Teulet            6    2    8     Df Cristhian Meza         11    0   11
Df Mario Egli              3    2    5     Df Marco Sibaja            8    1    9
Mf Ludwig Troell          10    2   12     Df Javi Flores             6    2    8
Mf Cyril Chadli            6    2    8     Mf Imed Ahmed             11    1   12
Mf Cássio Lemos           16    2   18     Mf Hernán Sancho           3    2    5
Fw Jamie Behich           13    2   15     Mf Ichiro Sakai           10    0   10
Fw Percy Maguire          13    2   15     Fw Shinya Soma            10    2   12
Fw Ignacio Pékerman       11    2   13     Fw Gregorio Caballero      6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  8 28 38 43        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 52 27 20    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  8 28 47 43         T O T A L S       18  0 59 27 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.5 (no red card)

Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.19 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.71 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card)

Df Mario Egli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.1 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.62 (no red card)

Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.09 (no red card)

Mf Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.12 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.71 (no red card)

Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.19 (no second yellow)

Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 38.5 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.49 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.01 (no red card)

Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.08 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 100.0 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.32 (no red card)

Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)

Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.5 (no red card)

Mf Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.02 (no second yellow)

Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.12 (no red card)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.16 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 95.37 (no injury) 
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.68 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury) 
Df Mario Egli: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.06 (no injury) 
Mf Cyril Chadli: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.71 (no injury) 
Mf Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.21 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.58 (no injury) 
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.54 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 99.11 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.68 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.97 (no injury) 
Df Cristhian Meza: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.76 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.68 (no injury) 
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Javi Flores is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.29 (no injury) 
Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.07 (no injury) 
Mf Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.57 (no injury) 
Fw Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 7.66 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Alisson SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          15   8  28  47  43
  Lewes FC                 18   0  59  27  20

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 59)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 20 ((47 - 27) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 3 ((28 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Df Mario Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Johan Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Cyril Chadli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Mf Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 18   0  59  27  20
  Southend United          15   8  28  47  43

Lewes FC is Playing For A Draw!
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 28)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 2 ((59 - 43) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Cássio Alisson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Shay Given
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Well done Colin…had the tactics all wrong in this one.
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/07 - 7:57 PM
An interesting game. Playing the Captain out of position paid off - phew!
Colin (Southend United) 06/08 - 8:54 AM
 
 
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