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Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 10:11:20 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEICESTER CITY FC                          DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bill Enow              12    1   13     Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    0   12
Sw Tony Humphreys         13    0   13     Df Nathan Edwards         10    0   10
Df Aidan Callahan         13    0   13     Df Alex Hassan             6    2    8
Df Vladimir Bürki          6    2    8     Df Rodrigo de Corona       6    2    8
Mf Joe Robson             13    0   13     Mf Peder Petersen         15   -1   14
Mf Van Gullit             10    1   11     Mf Ike Azeez              11   -1   10
Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima     15    0   15     Mf Glen Fortune-West       7   -1    6
Fw Jefferson Aguilar      12    0   12     Mf William Gomez           6    2    8
Fw Gökhan Egli            12    0   12     Mf Henry Rowles            2    2    4
Fw Barry Sutton           11    0   11     Fw Reimundo Almada        11    0   11
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi      6    2    8     Fw Yahia El mostafa        6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 21 24 58        ROSTER TOTALS      12  0 26 42 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 22 24 66         T O T A L S       12  0 26 42 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bill Enow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.16 (no red card)

Sw Tony Humphreys: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.43 (no red card)

Df Aidan Callahan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.81 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no red card)

Mf Joe Robson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.89 (no red card)

Mf Van Gullit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.89 (no red card)

Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)

Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.27 (no red card)

Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.31 (no red card)

Fw Barry Sutton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.69 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.52 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.2 (no red card)

Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.5 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.78 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.12 (no red card)

Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.6 (no red card)

Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.58 (no red card)

Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.39 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.62 (no red card)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.82 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.94 (no red card)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bill Enow: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.3 (no injury) 
Sw Tony Humphreys: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Df Aidan Callahan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.77 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Bürki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.12 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Robson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.19 (no injury) 
Mf Van Gullit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.42 (no injury) 
Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.97 (no injury) 
Fw Jefferson Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.58 (no injury) 
Fw Gökhan Egli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.73 (no injury) 
Fw Barry Sutton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.55 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.2 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.67 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.77 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.18 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.4 (no injury) 
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.82 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.3 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.0 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.11 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.03 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Yahia El mostafa is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Yahia El mostafa new match skill level =  3
      Yahia El mostafa new match total level =  5
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shin'ichi Nakajima SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

     intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 54 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Bill Enow SL 12

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        13  13  22  24  66
  Derby County             12   0  26  42  16

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 20 (66 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((22 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Vladimir Bürki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Aidan Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Barry Sutton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 27.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Barry Sutton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 8.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gökhan Egli
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 83.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Shin'ichi Nakajima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jefferson Aguilar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             12   0  26  42  16
  Leicester City FC        13  13  22  24  66

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 22)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 9 ((42 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ike Azeez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEICESTER CITY FC 6  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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