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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dani Cassio            11    1   12     Gk Artyom Szczesny        11    2   13
Sw Philippe Manago        13    0   13     Sw Walter Wilson          12    0   12
Df Marco Sa               13    0   13     Df Gabriele Gentiloni     10    1   11
Df Nicola Panucci         11    0   11     Df Leandro Lo Celso        5    2    7
Df Eirwyn Davey           11    0   11     Mf Tranquillo Fernandes    9    0    9
Mf Marco D'amato          13    0   13     Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun       5    2    7
Mf Minato Morishima       10    1   11     Fw Francois Abdoulaye     12    0   12
Fw Jordan Pérez           15   -1   14     Fw Bedwyr Brown            8    0    8
Fw Yannick Vanaken        12    0   12     Fw Francisco Murillo       7    1    8
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue    11    0   11     Fw Greg Rashford           6    1    7
Fw Javier Gimenez          7    1    8     Fw Ko Chul                 5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 35 24 45        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 18 16 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 35 28 50         T O T A L S       13 12 18 16 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.87 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.52 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.4 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.1 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.26 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.59 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.27 (no red card)

Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.83 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.32 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.5 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.2 (no red card)

Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.48 (no red card)

Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.21 (no red card)

Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.63 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.02 (no red card)

Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.09 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.45 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)

Fw Ko Chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.91 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.65 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.68 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.77 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.29 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.42 (no injury) 
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.61 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.54 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Artyom Szczesny: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.64 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.24 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.17 (no injury) 
Df Leandro Lo Celso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no injury) 
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Mf Ju-Won Seung-hyun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.77 (no injury) 
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.96 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.63 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no injury) 
Fw Ko Chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Artyom Szczesny SL 11

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francois Abdoulaye SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 11

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  13  35  28  50
  Northampton Town FC      13  12  18  16  42

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 32 (50 - 18); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 6 ((28 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      13  12  18  16  42
  Carlisle United          15  13  35  28  50

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (42 - 35); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ko Chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 2  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Carlisle at home, fortress up north. Northampton better have their boots laced tight today or they're getting sent back south empty handed.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/12 - 6:30 PM  
 
 
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