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Monday, February 16th, 2026 - 02:29:22 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eugene Vasilev         12    2   14     Gk Valentin Lugn          15    2   17
Sw Atsushi Oshima         15    1   16     Sw Walter Olivera         15    2   17
Df Willy Cerfbeer         13    1   14     Df Walter Hamisu          12    2   14
Df Martin Rodríguez       10    1   11     Df Joel Calvo             11    2   13
Df Jeppe Bach              3    2    5     Df Joseph Jones           11    2   13
Mf Isaac Juhlin           14    1   15     Mf Arthur Goodwin         13    2   15
Mf Valentin Gavranovic     7    2    9     Mf Kazuo Kawashima         7    2    9
Fw Julius Nwosu           13    1   14     Fw Geovanny Arley         13   -1   12
Fw José Oliveira          12    1   13     Fw Eduardo Luna           16    2   18
Fw Gavin Wright           14    0   14     Fw Atsushi Morioka        10    2   12
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car       7    2    9     Fw Gustavo da Rocha        6   -1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 30 24 50        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 40 24 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 16 30 24 59         T O T A L S       17 17 40 24 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.51 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.05 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.97 (no red card)

Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.78 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.05 (no red card)

Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.9 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.31 (no red card)

Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.36 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.77 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.61 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.55 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.83 (no red card)

Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.34 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.15 (no red card)

Df Joseph Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.76 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.05 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.54 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.81 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.44 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.57 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 19.65 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.72 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.88 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.87 (no injury) 
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no injury) 
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.7 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.68 (no injury) 
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.86 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.49 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no injury) 
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.19 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.74 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.7 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.96 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.61 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.53 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.74 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.96 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isaac Juhlin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 15

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eduardo Luna SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 12

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14  16  30  24  59
  Preston North End FC     17  17  40  24  47

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (59 - 40); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     17  17  40  24  47
  Bristol City FC          14  16  30  24  59

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 17 (47 - 30); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
PNE will be stretched this session. Let's see if we can take advantage.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/31 - 4:35 PM
Nope.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 01/31 - 7:04 PM
A tough encounter here. The score is logical!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/01 - 6:15 PM
 
 
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