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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonathan Kome          16    2   18     Gk Onel Rönnlund          14    2   16
Sw Svend Kragh            11    0   11     Sw Ludwig Süle            14    2   16
Df Mbaye Dieng            16    0   16     Df Walter Hamisu          15    2   17
Df Victor Rui             10    2   12     Df Ibrahim Aggrey         14    2   16
Df Pieter Willems          7    2    9     Df Anders Jacobsen         7    2    9
Mf Fernando Bentancur     10    2   12     Mf Kazuo Kawashima        10    2   12
Mf Taha Tagnaouti          8    1    9     Mf Carlos Nuñez            7    2    9
Fw Ederson Fabinho        14    2   16     Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul       10    2   12
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt      12    0   12     Fw Gustavo da Rocha       10    2   12
Fw Rico Santambrogio      10    2   12     Fw Fabrice Thabet          7    2    9
Fw Ghaith Abid             7    2    9     Fw Kamel Hamza             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 37 21 49        ROSTER TOTALS      16 16 42 21 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 37 21 58         T O T A L S       16 16 42 21 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.13 (no red card)

Sw Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.41 (no red card)

Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.54 (no red card)

Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.34 (no red card)

Df Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.73 (no red card)

Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.85 (no red card)

Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.04 (no red card)

Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)

Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.19 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.07 (no red card)

Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.8 (no red card)

Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.4 (no red card)

Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.03 (no red card)

Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.98 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no red card)

Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no red card)

Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.16 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.66 (no red card)

Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.1 (no red card)

Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.15 (no injury) 
Sw Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.06 (no injury) 
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.08 (no injury) 
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.27 (no injury) 
Df Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.95 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.96 (no injury) 
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.86 (no injury) 
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no injury) 
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.17 (no injury) 
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.57 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 99.48 (no injury) 
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.05 (no injury) 
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.43 (no injury) 
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no injury) 
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.5 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury) 
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.84 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.91 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.75 (no injury) 
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.79 (no injury) 
Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 14

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Walter Hamisu SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  11  37  21  58
  Preston North End FC     16  16  42  21  38

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (58 - 42); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 27.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 49.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 84.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Ghaith Abid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     16  16  42  21  38
  Nottingham Forest        18  11  37  21  58

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 1 (38 - 37); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
Olmec Steve vs I-Man. Two lads who can't stand each other sharing a pitch today. Forest better be ready because the Evil Empire doesn't do friendly visits.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/23 - 6:30 PM  
New signing makes an immediate impact.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 05/30 - 6:10 PM  
Olmec Steve gets the three points and I-Man goes home empty. Evil Empire takes another hit. Forest are quiet and grinding — I respect that.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 05/30 - 6:30 PM  
 
 
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