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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison         16    2   18     Gk John Kosowski           6    2    8
Sw Oisin Lundin            3    2    5     Sw Joseph Hadja            3    2    5
Df Cássio Alisson         12    2   14     Df Kazu Fukunishi          7    2    9
Df Javi Flores             6    2    8     Df Chung Sung-yeung        5    2    7
Mf Damian Nabbout          6    2    8     Df Thomas ter Stegen       5    2    7
Fw Jean Diouf             15    1   16     Df Haris Seferovic         3    2    5
Fw Ichiro Sakai           12    0   12     Mf Victor Moreira          7    2    9
Fw Roberto Bonano         10    2   12     Mf Muhammed Kwadwo         3    2    5
Mf Shinya Soma             8    2   10     Fw Miguel Díaz             7    2    9
Fw Gregorio Caballero      6    2    8     Fw Oliver Claesson         7    2    9
Fw Amadou Wagué            6    2    8     Fw Lance James             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  5 22 18 56        ROSTER TOTALS       8  5 28 14 23    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  7  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  5 22 21 62         T O T A L S       11  8 39 14 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 18.79 (no red card)

Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.81 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.6 (no red card)

Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.43 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.23 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.42 (no second yellow)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.6 (no red card)

Mf Shinya Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.77 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.74 (no second yellow)

Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.05 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 64.75 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 11.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 84.18 (no second yellow)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 79.26 (no red card)

Df Chung Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 10.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 2.23 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Chung Sung-yeung new match skill level =  3
      Chung Sung-yeung new match total level =  5

Df Thomas ter Stegen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 14.07 (no red card)

Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 41.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.32 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 92.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 49.48 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 24.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 35.47 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 16.87 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 39.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 2.29 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Lance James new match skill level =  2
      Lance James new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 17.04 (no injury) 
Sw Oisin Lundin: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 7.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Oisin Lundin is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Oisin Lundin new match skill level =  2
      Oisin Lundin new match total level =  4
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 7.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cássio Alisson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 55.87 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 36.1 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 4.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Ichiro Sakai is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ichiro Sakai new match skill level =  6
      Ichiro Sakai new match total level =  6
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 4.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Roberto Bonano is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Roberto Bonano new match skill level =  5
      Roberto Bonano new match total level =  7
Mf Shinya Soma: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 47.37 (no injury) 
Fw Gregorio Caballero: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 73.19 (no injury) 
Fw Amadou Wagué: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 64.98 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 97.87 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.62 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury) 
Df Chung Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 19.94 (no injury) 
Df Thomas ter Stegen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no injury) 
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 60.46 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 12.77 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 76.73 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 8.02 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Claesson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 9.9 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 57.82 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jean Diouf SL 15
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 92 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kazu Fukunishi SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   4  22  21  51
  Brentford FC             11   8  37  14  22

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 14 (51 - 37); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((21 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Shinya Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 94.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 97.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Amadou Wagué
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregorio Caballero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 71.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             11   8  37  14  22
  Lewes FC                 19   4  22  21  51

Brentford FC is Playing For A Draw!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 22)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 6  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
It is a special match against my friend Outlaw Honest Darth Dave. We will play 10 hardness. Hopefully no one gets hurt.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/08 - 12:28 AM
Has their ever been a match where both teams played 10 hard?
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/08 - 1:44 AM
Not until this one my friend!
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/08 - 2:20 PM
The average hardness at Brentford this year is precisely 0.00. This suggests Mr Sellers threatening behaviour is a case of all mouth and no trousers.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/10 - 12:52 AM
With no games against Kendal this year, here's betting Dave uses 10 GPP in this game instead.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/10 - 12:54 AM
Hopefully the rebuild survives this expected carnage
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/12 - 11:42 AM
Due to his early exit from the AP Cup, it is unclear where Dave will play his youth players this session. Surely not here.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/14 - 11:24 AM
Great boost to the goal differential…..thanks Al
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/14 - 6:16 PM
Al may not have scored any goals, but he certainly piled on the injuries.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/14 - 6:33 PM
We gave the Rooks everything we had!
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/15 - 3:46 PM
 
 
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