(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Federico Curbelo 6 2 8 Gk Ethan Maddison 16 2 18
Df Hajime Tanaka 12 0 12 Sw DongHyun Young-min 6 2 8
Df Yahaya Etim 11 0 11 Df Federico Zanetti 10 2 12
Df Quentin Mertens 6 2 8 Df Jaap De wit 10 1 11
Mf Gustavo Moreno 12 0 12 Mf Minki Sung-yeung 10 2 12
Mf Fernando Militao 11 0 11 Mf Abdoul N'Diaye 6 2 8
Mf Cameron Gates 10 0 10 Mf Boris Perisic 3 2 5
Mf Toby Llewellyn 6 2 8 Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 17 2 19
Fw Conway Roberts 12 0 12 Fw Elias Mayer 11 2 13
Fw Valeriy Yastenko 11 0 11 Fw Albert Blanco 6 2 8
Fw Francois Abdou 6 2 8 Fw Ji-Hun Min 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
8 0 31 41 31 ROSTER TOTALS 18 8 23 25 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
8 0 31 41 42 T O T A L S 18 9 23 25 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.72 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no red card)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.09 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.48 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.39 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no red card)
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.91 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.71 (no red card)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.34 (no red card)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.64 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.54 (no red card)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.18 (no red card)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.07 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.31 (no red card)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.51 (no red card)
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.35 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.22 (no second yellow)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.92 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.96 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.06 (no red card)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.8 (no red card)
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.23 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.29 (no injury)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.52 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.09 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury)
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.31 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.7 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Toby Llewellyn loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Toby Llewellyn new match skill level = 3
Toby Llewellyn new match total level = 5
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.51 (no injury)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.62 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.38 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 14.52 (no injury)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.68 (no injury)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.62 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.64 (no injury)
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.78 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.14 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.54 (no injury)
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.15 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hajime Tanaka SL 12
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 17
- Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 6
intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 8 0 31 38 42
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 9 23 25 48
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 19 (42 - 23); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 48) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.65 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 9 23 25 48
Swindon Town FC 8 0 31 38 42
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 17 (48 - 31); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 88.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 35.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 36.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 40.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 94.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 46.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Ruben Gutiérrez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 71.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 2 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 6
Match Notes
Our side never feel good about playing away.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/25 - 5:54 PM
I think OST might have produced a drastically different result.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/31 - 9:54 PM
A hat trick +1 for Gutiérrez today!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/31 - 9:55 PM