(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED LINCOLN CITY FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gregory Reyna 13 2 15 Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi 13 2 15
Sw Ramires Jesus 13 1 14 Sw Jakob Petersen 14 1 15
Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15 Df Percy Triggs 15 1 16
Df Eirwyn Davey 12 2 14 Df Hans Murphy 12 2 14
Df Lloyd Cole 11 0 11 Df Dante Geromel 10 2 12
Mf Aliyu Edet 12 2 14 Mf Babou Kebe 13 1 14
Mf Marcus Teulet 12 1 13 Mf Akira Nagatomo 10 2 12
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 12 2 14 Mf Aliou Sow 9 2 11
Fw Javier Gimenez 14 2 16 Fw Martin Jashari 12 2 14
Fw Ki Seon-min 12 0 12 Fw Benedicto Ortega 12 1 13
Fw John Skoras 11 1 12 Fw Simão DaSilva 12 2 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 14 40 27 54 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 42 37 41
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 14 40 30 60 T O T A L S 15 15 42 37 41
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.26 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.14 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.27 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.72 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.73 (no red card)
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.26 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.75 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.99 (no red card)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.03 (no red card)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.86 (no red card)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.77 (no red card)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.35 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.42 (no red card)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.15 (no red card)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.45 (no red card)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.36 (no red card)
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no red card)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.77 (no red card)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.0 (no red card)
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.68 (no red card)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.94 (no red card)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.95 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.76 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.86 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no injury)
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.57 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.71 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.33 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no injury)
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.41 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.7 (no injury)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.83 (no injury)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.24 (no injury)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.14 (no injury)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.77 (no injury)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.26 (no injury)
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.84 (no injury)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.49 (no injury)
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no injury)
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.74 (no injury)
Fw Martin Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.65 (no injury)
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.21 (no injury)
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.0 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
- Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 13
intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Triggs SL 15
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 13
intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 15 14 40 30 60
Lincoln City FC 15 15 42 37 41
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 18 (60 - 42); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 15 15 42 37 41
Carlisle United 15 14 40 30 60
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (41 - 40); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((37 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - LINCOLN CITY FC 1
Match Notes
We have the dreaded six game winless streak. C'mon, lads - don't make it seven!
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/14 - 5:03 AM
First of two matches vs the other top teams here in D3. Best of luck, Dave!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/14 - 1:10 PM
Thought we were getting really lucky here, but the late equalizer came (still pretty luck to draw, though).
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/14 - 7:08 PM
Flaky goalkeeping nearly cost us even a point.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/14 - 10:48 PM