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Wednesday, February 4th, 2026 - 03:28:27 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Kosowski          13    2   15     Gk Gregory Reyna          13    2   15
Sw Joseph Hadja            7    2    9     Sw Philippe Manago        13    2   15
Df Christian Hennessey    14    2   16     Df Eirwyn Davey           13    1   14
Df Maciek Szymanski       12    2   14     Df Marco Sa               12    2   14
Df Haris Seferovic         7    2    9     Df Jacob Beynon           10    0   10
Df Gildardo Aguilar        3    2    5     Df Nicola Panucci          6    2    8
Mf Paul Mahamat           15    2   17     Mf Aliyu Edet             13    1   14
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo         7    2    9     Mf Minato Morishima        6    2    8
Fw Miguel Díaz            13    1   14     Mf Emmanuel Krzynówek     13    2   15
Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    1   14     Fw Javier Gimenez         11    0   11
Fw Lance James             7    2    9     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  9 44 26 37        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 46 37 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      15  9 44 26 46         T O T A L S       18 15 50 40 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Kosowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no red card)

Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.4 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card)

Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.93 (no red card)

Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)

Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.23 (no red card)

Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.07 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.1 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.04 (no red card)

Fw Lance James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.23 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.93 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.25 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.1 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.56 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.36 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.16 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.06 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card)

Mf Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.64 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.72 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Kosowski: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.74 (no injury) 
Sw Joseph Hadja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.85 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury) 
Df Haris Seferovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no injury) 
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.03 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury) 
Mf Muhammed Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.48 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.45 (no injury) 
Fw Lance James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.25 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.47 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.61 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.32 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.63 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.11 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.81 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.17 (no injury) 
Mf Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.12 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.14 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Paul Mahamat SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 13

     intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 13
   - Defending Gk: John Kosowski SL 13

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             15   9  44  26  46
  Carlisle United          18  15  50  40  19

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 50)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 9 ((44 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Haris Seferovic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          18  15  50  40  19
  Brentford FC             15   9  44  26  46

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 44)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((50 - 46) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Minato Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Tough match today against U1's best 3rd Division team...
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/28 - 11:47 PM
Lucky to get a win today. Good match Dave.
Allan (Brentford FC) 01/31 - 6:20 PM
Indeed. A rather irritating loss, it has to be said.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/01 - 12:10 AM
 
 
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