(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC CHESTERFIELD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Onel Rönnlund 15 2 17 Gk Héctor Medrano 16 2 18
Sw Walter Olivera 12 2 14 Df Guillermo Barreto 14 0 14
Df Walter Hamisu 15 2 17 Df Bozidar Rakitic 7 2 9
Df Ibrahim Aggrey 14 2 16 Df Maxwell Aggrey 3 0 3
Df Anders Jacobsen 7 2 9 Mf Edwin O'Kelly 16 0 16
Mf Kazuo Kawashima 10 2 12 Mf Fabián Araujo 7 2 9
Mf Carlos Nuñez 7 2 9 Mf Lloyd Owen 3 2 5
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 10 2 12 Fw Mario Barrios 15 0 15
Fw Gustavo da Rocha 10 2 12 Fw Minsung Woo-young 7 2 9
Fw Fabrice Thabet 7 2 9 Fw Masaki Nagatomo 7 2 9
Fw Kamel Hamza 3 2 5 Fw Koo Chun-soo 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 14 42 21 38 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 26 30 38
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 14 42 21 47 T O T A L S 18 0 26 30 38
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.07 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.06 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.06 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.43 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.04 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no second yellow)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.06 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.44 (no red card)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.08 (no red card)
Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.13 (no red card)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.11 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.25 (no red card)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.99 (no red card)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.34 (no red card)
Df Maxwell Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.08 (no red card)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.45 (no red card)
Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.56 (no red card)
Mf Lloyd Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.78 (no red card)
Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no red card)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.27 (no red card)
Fw Koo Chun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.8 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury)
Df Anders Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.98 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.16 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no injury)
Fw Fabrice Thabet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.77 (no injury)
Fw Kamel Hamza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.64 (no injury)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.81 (no injury)
Df Guillermo Barreto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury)
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.99 (no injury)
Df Maxwell Aggrey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury)
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.23 (no injury)
Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.73 (no injury)
Mf Lloyd Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.23 (no injury)
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury)
Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury)
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no injury)
Fw Koo Chun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.62 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Walter Hamisu SL 15
- Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16
intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Edwin O'Kelly SL 16
- Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 15
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 17 14 42 21 47
Chesterfield FC 18 0 26 30 38
Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 11 (47 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Fabrice Thabet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Kamel Hamza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chesterfield FC 18 0 26 30 38
Preston North End FC 17 14 42 21 47
Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 42)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 47) / 5; rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Lloyd Owen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Fabián Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Fabián Araujo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 3 - CHESTERFIELD FC 0
Match Notes
I-Man's Evil Empire against Chesterfield. Preston should fancy this at home but complacency kills. Don't get cute, Ian.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/03 - 6:30 PM
If Kevin Martin is excluded from the list, Phil is our favourite Kirksville manager.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/06 - 5:31 PM