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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach         14    2   16     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Toni Meyer             14    2   16     Df Hayden Goodwin         14    2   16
Df Radoslaw Kaminski      12    2   14     Df Abdul Otu              12    2   14
Df Hugo Simons            12    2   14     Df Miguel Torres          10    2   12
Df James Aminu             7    2    9     Mf Miguel López           12    2   14
Mf Denis Fellaini         13    2   15     Mf Arthur Goodwin         10    2   12
Mf Yahia El idrissi        8    0    8     Mf Bahaeeddine Ait         7    2    9
Fw Mohammed Gyasi         14    2   16     Fw Eduardo Luna           14    2   16
Fw John Clarke            12    2   14     Fw Šime Sucic             10    2   12
Fw Krystian Zewlakow      12    2   14     Fw Raphaël Mayeux         10    2   12
Fw Nii Mingle             16    2   18     Fw Geovanny Arley          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 37 23 62        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 42 35 49    
       1  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 37 24 71         T O T A L S       20  0 42 35 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.98 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.67 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.98 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.43 (no red card)

Df James Aminu: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.44 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.94 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.43 (no red card)

Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.73 (no red card)

Fw John Clarke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.03 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.73 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.29 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.74 (no second yellow)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.63 (no red card)

Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.88 (no red card)

Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.88 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.05 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.48 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.45 (no red card)

Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.1 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 64.27 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 58.17 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 2.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Hugo Simons is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df James Aminu: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.39 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 72.96 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.67 (no injury) 
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no injury) 
Fw John Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.58 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.01 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.57 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 88.48 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 39.63 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 63.64 (no injury) 
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 18.95 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 85.23 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.8 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 31.67 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 77.37 (no injury) 
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 15.52 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 86.59 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17  16  37  24  71
  Preston North End FC     20   0  42  35  49

Preston North End FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 15 (71 - 42) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Fw John Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 93.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 39.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 95.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 97.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 56.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw John Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Preston North End FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     20   0  42  35  49
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    17  16  37  24  71

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 12 (49 - 37); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 71) / 5;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Bahaeeddine Ait
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 79.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Miguel López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Šime Sucic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 3  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
Match Notes
hard fixture this
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/01 - 1:40 PM
and not sure the large managerial support is justified
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/01 - 1:41 PM
that was a definite title 6 pointer!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/01 - 11:26 PM
 
 
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