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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko    13    2   15     Gk Logan McKennie          8    0    8
Sw Toni Meyer             11    2   13     Df Josip Sommer           13    2   15
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda       14    2   16     Df Andre Ngwa             10    2   12
Df Goronwy Wright         13    2   15     Df Tobias Kimmich          9    2   11
Mf Léon Velardi            8    2   10     Df Bozidar Šimic           7    2    9
Df Rory Kelly              7    2    9     Df Abdoul N'day            3    2    5
Mf Cesar Beto              7    2    9     Mf Harold Thorne          12    2   14
Fw Sven Skog              14    2   16     Mf Dragan Shvets          12    2   14
Fw Younes Regragui        13    2   15     Mf Marcos Gomez            3    2    5
Fw Mohammed Gyasi         16    2   18     Fw Luís Oliveira           7    2    9
Fw Danny Rose              7    2    9     Fw Alexis Havet            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 40 19 58        ROSTER TOTALS       8  0 52 33 14    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          3  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      15 13 40 23 64         T O T A L S       11  0 53 40 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.29 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.04 (no second yellow)

Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no red card)

Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.0 (no second yellow)

Mf Léon Velardi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)

Df Rory Kelly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card)

Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.13 (no red card)

Fw Sven Skog: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.92 (no red card)

Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.87 (no red card)

Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.06 (no red card)

Fw Danny Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 18.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 57.52 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 5.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.84 (no second yellow)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 65.48 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 5.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 1.56 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Bozidar Šimic new match skill level =  4
      Bozidar Šimic new match total level =  6

Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 61.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.41 (no red card)

Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 49.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.24 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 46.22 (no red card)

Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)

Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 10.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.0 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Valentyn Tymoshenko: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Df Hiroyuki Matsuda: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.0 (no injury) 
Df Goronwy Wright: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 78.2 (no injury) 
Mf Léon Velardi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 99.17 (no injury) 
Df Rory Kelly: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) 
Mf Cesar Beto: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 95.69 (no injury) 
Fw Sven Skog: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 68.44 (no injury) 
Fw Younes Regragui: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 26.21 (no injury) 
Fw Mohammed Gyasi: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 15.04 (no injury) 
Fw Danny Rose: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 98.74 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 93.07 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.42 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.42 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.6 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Šimic: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.87 (no injury) 
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 85.28 (no injury) 
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 66.25 (no injury) 
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 52.73 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Gomez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 31.29 (no injury) 
Fw Luís Oliveira: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 80.91 (no injury) 
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Mohammed Gyasi SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Josip Sommer SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Valentyn Tymoshenko SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  13  40  23  64
  Dorchester Town          11   0  50  40  14

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (64 - 50) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 9 ((40 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Rory Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 16.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 2.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Goronwy Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Hiroyuki Matsuda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 13.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Danny Rose
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 40.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 19.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Younes Regragui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Mohammed Gyasi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          11   0  50  40  14
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  13  40  23  64

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 40)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 64) / 5;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Dragan Shvets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
Match Notes
Our first meeting against Weston this weekend.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/01 - 6:16 PM
we are hoping it will not be an enjoyable experience...
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/06 - 9:30 PM
 
 
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