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Sheffield United
James Bucknall
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEFFIELD UNITED                           CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Miljenko Sucic         15    0   15     Gk Dani Cassio            14    2   16
Sw Joachim Thygesen        7    0    7     Sw Alistair Robinson       7    2    9
Df Ivan Rakitic           13    1   14     Df Eirwyn Davey           11    1   12
Df André Ricken           12    2   14     Df Kyria Brozovic          7    2    9
Df David Vega             11    1   12     Df Deryn Cartwright        3    2    5
Df Vladimir Kuhn           7    2    9     Mf Marco D'amato          13    0   13
Mf Ciriaco Bickel         10    2   12     Df Brian Murray            8    2   10
Mf Darren Sterling        10    2   12     Mf Ousmane Laforest        7    2    9
Fw Samuel Agbo            18    2   20     Mf Alexander Dolberg       3    2    5
Fw Nestor Machado         11    2   13     Fw Agustin Martinez        7    2    9
Fw Aidan Brown             7    2    9     Fw Liam Harries            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  7 49 24 42        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 36 27 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  7 49 24 51         T O T A L S       16 11 43 27 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.95 (no red card)

Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.34 (no red card)

Df André Ricken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.28 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      André Ricken new match skill level =  6
      André Ricken new match total level =  8

Df David Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.04 (no red card)

Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.29 (no red card)

Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.42 (no red card)

Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.44 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.55 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.59 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.85 (no red card)

Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.35 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.52 (no red card)

Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.04 (no red card)

Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.91 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no red card)

Df Brian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.0 (no red card)

Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.8 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.37 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.29 (no red card)

Fw Liam Harries: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Miljenko Sucic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 41.14 (no injury) 
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no injury) 
Df Ivan Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury) 
Df André Ricken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.65 (no injury) 
Df David Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.47 (no injury) 
Df Vladimir Kuhn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.14 (no injury) 
Mf Ciriaco Bickel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no injury) 
Mf Darren Sterling: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Darren Sterling is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Darren Sterling new match skill level =  5
      Darren Sterling new match total level =  7
Fw Samuel Agbo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.05 (no injury) 
Fw Nestor Machado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.54 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.75 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.05 (no injury) 
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.53 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) 
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.4 (no injury) 
Df Deryn Cartwright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.38 (no injury) 
Df Brian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.94 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Dolberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.01 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Harries: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Samuel Agbo SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 14

     intRndPk = 42
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marco D'amato SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Miljenko Sucic SL 15

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         15   7  43  19  51
  Carlisle United          16  11  43  27  14

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 8 (51 - 43); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 10 ((43 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Vladimir Kuhn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 38.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 77.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 65.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Ivan Rakitic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df André Ricken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df David Vega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Ivan Rakitic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 71.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Samuel Agbo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nestor Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Aidan Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16  11  43  27  14
  Sheffield United         15   7  43  19  51

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 43)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Ousmane Laforest
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEFFIELD UNITED 2  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Sheffield United at home, Carlisle making the trip. Big test for both sides. Whoever wants it more wins this one.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/05 - 6:30 PM  
Set to be a close encounter. Good luck Dave.
James (Sheffield United) 06/06 - 2:24 PM  
Cheers, James. I'd have needed a lot of luck witrh the side I put out!
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/07 - 1:22 AM  
 
 
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