(H)
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Wayne Carroll 16 2 18 Gk Xavier Lambert 7 2 9 Df Filip Gustafsson 7 2 9 Sw Lewis Russell 11 0 11 Sw Toni Meyer 7 2 9 Df Jamie Aitken 10 1 11 Df Hugo Simons 11 2 13 Df Shay Finnan 9 1 10 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 7 2 9 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 7 2 9 Mf Yahia El idrissi 11 2 13 Df Jacob Beynon 3 2 5 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 7 2 9 Mf Ben Ince 13 1 14 Fw Nii Mingle 15 2 17 Mf Jacek Frankowski 7 2 9 Fw Kenneth Milligan 17 2 19 Mf Marcus Teulet 3 1 4 Fw Krystian Zewlakow 11 2 13 Fw Alexander Schwarz 8 2 10 Fw Dafydd Chapman 7 2 9 Fw Javier Gimenez 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 9 31 22 58 ROSTER TOTALS 9 11 35 27 15 0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 9 31 23 67 T O T A L S 12 11 42 27 15 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.63 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.59 (no red card) Df Filip Gustafsson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.47 (no red card) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.84 (no red card) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.76 (no red card) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.55 (no red card) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.7 (no red card) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.05 (no red card) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.49 (no red card) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.61 (no red card) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.58 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.35 (no red card) Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.72 (no red card) Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.09 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.13 (no red card) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.08 (no red card) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.57 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.5 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.81 (no second yellow) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.44 (no red card) Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.01 (no red card) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.64 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.32 (no injury) Df Filip Gustafsson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.1 (no injury) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.53 (no injury) Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.52 (no injury) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.55 (no injury) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.04 (no injury) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.34 (no injury) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.11 (no injury) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.41 (no injury) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.25 (no injury) Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.47 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.91 (no injury) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.72 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Lewis Russell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Lewis Russell new match skill level = 6 Lewis Russell new match total level = 6 Df Jamie Aitken: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.82 (no injury) Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.67 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.16 (no injury) Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.2 (no injury) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.97 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.17 (no injury) Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.52 (no injury) Fw Alexander Schwarz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.31 (no injury) Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.13 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kenneth Milligan SL 17 - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 7 intRndPk = 5 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Ben Ince SL 13 - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 9 31 23 67 Carlisle United 12 6 42 27 15 Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 25 (67 - 42); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((31 - 15) / 3); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31 1: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 68.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Df Hugo Simons Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Filip Gustafsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 48.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 94.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 14.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 12 6 42 27 15 Weston-super-Mare AFC 18 9 31 23 67 Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 31) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 23) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 67) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 5 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
with our top dog defender suspended for the game the others are going to have to dig deep and put the boot in!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/23 - 11:41 PM
Put the boot in? Sounds like we may not be free of injuries for much longer.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/24 - 10:40 AM
sorry about the injury but at least my ´boot in´comment put your best players off attending the game
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/24 - 9:46 PM