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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fernando Pellistri     12    1   13     Gk Kurt Östman            16    2   18
Sw Artur Boniek           12    0   12     Sw Gualberto Burgos       11    2   13
Df Rodrigo de Corona      16    0   16     Df Nour Zaroury           13    2   15
Df Alex Hassan            12    1   13     Df Martin Persson         12    2   14
Mf Ike Azeez              11    2   13     Mf Noah Martinez          11    2   13
Mf Henry Rowles           10    2   12     Mf Johnny Rieder           9    2   11
Fw Yahia El mostafa       14    0   14     Mf Abel Peeters            8    2   10
Fw Erik Christiansen      11    0   11     Fw Paul Dumont            13    2   15
Fw Reimundo Almada        11    2   13     Fw Óscar Vargas           16    2   18
Fw Jay Mitchell            8    2   10     Fw Fredrik Engberg         9    1   10
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal          8    2   10     Fw Keiron Chamberlain      8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 29 25 58        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 29 34 53    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 29 25 69         T O T A L S       18 13 29 34 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.67 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.28 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.46 (no red card)

Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.43 (no red card)

Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.58 (no second yellow)

Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.98 (no red card)

Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.8 (no red card)

Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.35 (no red card)

Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.08 (no red card)

Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.21 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.32 (no red card)

Sw Gualberto Burgos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)

Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.66 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.49 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.52 (no red card)

Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.61 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.87 (no red card)

Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.71 (no red card)

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.54 (no red card)

Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.57 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.72 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.69 (no injury) 
Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.92 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.58 (no injury) 
Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.63 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.0 (no injury) 
Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.05 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jay Mitchell is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Saïd Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 69.14 (no injury) 
Sw Gualberto Burgos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 20.29 (no injury) 
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.24 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.52 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.27 (no injury) 
Mf Abel Peeters: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.39 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.05 (no injury) 
Fw Óscar Vargas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.14 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.73 (no injury) 
Fw Keiron Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rodrigo de Corona SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Óscar Vargas SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13  12  29  25  69
  Nottingham Forest        18  13  29  34  53

Derby County Fw Attacks = 40 (69 - 29); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 51.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
36: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Saïd Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
39: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Erik Christiansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        18  13  29  34  53
  Derby County             13  12  29  25  69

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 24 (53 - 29); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 5 ((34 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Noah Martinez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Abel Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 35.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 77.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 41.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Keiron Chamberlain
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Óscar Vargas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 5  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3
 
Match Notes
Well played Martyn. In my defence xG for Derby is 2.4
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/08 - 6:15 PM
And 2.5 for Forest
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 02/08 - 6:16 PM
 
 
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