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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos     14    2   16     Gk Dylan De boer          15    2   17
Sw Ciaran O'Connor         6    2    8     Sw Pablo Odriozola        15    2   17
Df Mark O'Byrne           12    2   14     Df Jerome De Ketelaere    13    2   15
Df Zare Costa              6    2    8     Df Sven Thoren            11    1   12
Df Adesoji Ismaila         4    2    6     Df Philipp Vogel          10    1   11
Mf Artur Zalewski         10    2   12     Df Dmytro Kylymar          8    2   10
Mf Junho Sang-chul         4    2    6     Mf Alan Herdman           13    1   14
Fw Edson Blanco           13    2   15     Mf Benedicto González     10    2   12
Fw Leonardo Alonso        13    2   15     Fw Hermidio Rivera        14    0   14
Fw Gustavo Pavon          11    2   13     Fw Martin Aguilera        13    2   15
Fw Eddy Perez              8    2   10     Fw Adam Vasilev           15    1   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  8 28 18 53        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 48 26 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  8 28 20 60         T O T A L S       18 17 48 26 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.28 (no red card)

Sw Ciaran O'Connor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.49 (no red card)

Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.67 (no red card)

Df Zare Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.88 (no red card)

Df Adesoji Ismaila: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.79 (no red card)

Mf Junho Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.76 (no red card)

Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.36 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.43 (no red card)

Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.56 (no red card)

Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.38 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 55.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 46.07 (no red card)

Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.2 (no red card)

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.13 (no red card)

Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.47 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.23 (no red card)

Df Dmytro Kylymar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card)

Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.42 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)

Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.53 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.08 (no injury) 
Sw Ciaran O'Connor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.43 (no injury) 
Df Mark O'Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.59 (no injury) 
Df Zare Costa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.39 (no injury) 
Df Adesoji Ismaila: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.7 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.31 (no injury) 
Mf Junho Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.13 (no injury) 
Fw Edson Blanco: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.19 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.11 (no injury) 
Fw Gustavo Pavon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.93 (no injury) 
Fw Eddy Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.05 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.29 (no injury) 
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.8 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury) 
Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.72 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.44 (no injury) 
Df Dmytro Kylymar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.12 (no injury) 
Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.98 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.43 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.24 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edson Blanco SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 14

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          16   8  28  20  60
  Port Vale FC             18  17  48  26  45

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 12 (60 - 48); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gustavo Pavon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Eddy Perez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edson Blanco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18  17  48  26  45
  Cardiff City FC          16   8  28  20  60

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 17 (45 - 28); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Benedicto González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alan Herdman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 71.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Martin Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 3  -  PORT VALE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Graham's Cardiff — perpetually unsure whether they're building something or just filling a fixture list. Port Vale won't care either way.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/16 - 12:16 AM  
I think we may get defeated at home
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/20 - 4:02 PM  
 
 
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