Watford's groundsman's been trimming that pitch to suit the forwards and I reckon De Boer causes problems all night — but Lewes aren't pushovers, Bouaziz in goal looks solid and he'll keep them in it. Home advantage gives Watford the edge on paper but Lewes have got the same bite up front and they won't be rolled over quietly. A draw feels right but don't let anyone tell you Lewes came here just to make up the numbers.

Watford's home advantage gives them the edge in theory, but that groundsman bonus is almost entirely loaded into the forward line — eight points up front with nothing through the middle is a curious way to build a team. Pavlyuk and Hattori will have their hands full containing José Pérez, who looks like the kind of forward that exploits exactly the sort of disorganised defensive shape Watford tend to show at home. A draw feels about right, though I suspect both managers will claim they deserved more, as they always do.