(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 1 16 Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19
Sw Fokke Taylor 15 1 16 Sw Walter Olivera 16 2 18
Df Carsten Kragelund 15 0 15 Df Hayden Goodwin 17 2 19
Df Philipp Vogel 12 2 14 Df Harry Martyn 9 2 11
Df Boško Shpak 10 2 12 Mf Arthur Goodwin 15 2 17
Df Ibai Fati 8 2 10 Mf Issa Daouda 9 2 11
Mf Santiago Villa 14 0 14 Fw Eduardo Luna 14 2 16
Mf Daragh Breen 11 2 13 Fw Geovanny Arley 12 2 14
Fw Adam Vasilev 15 2 17 Fw Victor Pino 9 2 11
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 17 -1 16 Fw Atsushi Morioka 9 2 11
Fw Peter Goossens 13 1 14 Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 16 51 27 47 ROSTER TOTALS 19 18 30 28 58
1 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 17 51 27 56 T O T A L S 22 21 30 28 58
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.69 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.78 (no red card)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.93 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.45 (no red card)
Df Ibai Fati: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.48 (no red card)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 11.09 (no red card)
Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.79 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.4 (no second yellow)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.88 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.45 (no red card)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.21 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.27 (no red card)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.99 (no red card)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.84 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.37 (no second yellow)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.7 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.4 (no red card)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.22 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.8 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.49 (no red card)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.1 (no second yellow)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.39 (no red card)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 2
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no injury)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.74 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.44 (no injury)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.47 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.03 (no injury)
Df Ibai Fati: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.19 (no injury)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.61 (no injury)
Mf Daragh Breen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.75 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.83 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.89 (no injury)
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.14 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 93.78 (no injury)
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.59 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Walter Olivera is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Walter Olivera new match skill level = 8
Walter Olivera new match total level = 10
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.76 (no injury)
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.7 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.42 (no injury)
Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.31 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.01 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.79 (no injury)
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.99 (no injury)
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.48 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.68 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 17
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 83 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 17 17 51 27 56
Preston North End FC 22 13 30 28 58
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 26 (56 - 30); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 78.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 46.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 59.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 89.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 70.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 22 13 30 28 58
Port Vale FC 17 17 51 27 56
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 7 (58 - 51); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 56) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Arthur Goodwin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Geovanny Arley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
Match Notes
None of these games are easy
John (Port Vale FC) 07/05 - 8:19 PM
Big game.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/10 - 4:42 PM
Playing for the top of the mountain with 5 to go.
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/10 - 10:28 PM
Erm...with 4 to go
Dave (Lewes FC) 07/10 - 10:28 PM
That extra hardness point made a huge difference for the season. Gave us the nasty SW injury, but also the PK that tied the game
Ian (Preston North End FC) 07/12 - 6:25 PM
I'm honestly not sure I meant to do that.
John (Port Vale FC) 07/13 - 8:57 AM