(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD LEWES FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mads Frost 16 2 18 Gk Samir Bouaziz 16 2 18
Sw Nico Lehmann 12 2 14 Df Javi Flores 14 2 16
Df Keita Hattori 14 2 16 Df Cássio Alisson 13 2 15
Df Shoichi Morita 12 2 14 Df Kylian Rabiot 10 2 12
Df José Mendes 9 2 11 Df Salvador Alvarado 9 2 11
Mf Dmitry Soroka 15 2 17 Mf Artjoms Tokar 14 2 16
Mf Aidan Maddison 12 1 13 Mf Damian Nabbout 13 2 15
Fw Djonno De boer 16 2 18 Mf Imed Ahmed 10 2 12
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 14 -1 13 Fw Jose Pérez 16 2 18
Fw Valerio Paredes 12 2 14 Fw Ji-Hun Woo-young 14 2 16
Fw Yassine Aloui 9 2 11 Fw Roberto Bonano 16 2 18
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 14 41 30 56 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 54 43 52
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 14 41 30 66 T O T A L S 19 0 54 43 52
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.03 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.71 (no red card)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.75 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.24 (no red card)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.9 (no red card)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.43 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.74 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.89 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.49 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.16 (no second yellow)
******* LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 71.5 (no red card)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.69 (no red card)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.91 (no red card)
Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.03 (no red card)
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.49 (no red card)
Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.01 (no red card)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.34 (no red card)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.11 (no red card)
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)
Fw Ji-Hun Woo-young: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.49 (no red card)
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.48 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 51.69 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.95 (no injury)
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.61 (no injury)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.16 (no injury)
Mf Aidan Maddison: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.01 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.6 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.2 (no injury)
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.77 (no injury)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 12.55 (no injury)
Df Javi Flores: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.79 (no injury)
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 15.71 (no injury)
Df Kylian Rabiot: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.08 (no injury)
Df Salvador Alvarado: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.34 (no injury)
Mf Artjoms Tokar: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.16 (no injury)
Mf Damian Nabbout: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.64 (no injury)
Mf Imed Ahmed: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.92 (no injury)
Fw Jose Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury)
Fw Ji-Hun Woo-young: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no injury)
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Djonno De boer SL 16
- Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jose Pérez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 14 41 30 66
Lewes FC 19 0 54 43 52
Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 6 (66 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 2; rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 91.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 81.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 46.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
******* LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lewes FC 19 0 54 43 52
Watford 18 14 41 30 66
Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 11 (52 - 41); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((43 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 66) / 5; rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Mf Damian Nabbout
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Artjoms Tokar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Imed Ahmed
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Woo-young
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jose Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 1 - LEWES FC 0
Match Notes
JT deploying schoolboys against the Dohminator's parked bus. Tactically fascinating. Statistically, something has to give — my money is on the scoreline reading 0-0 and everyone calling it a tactical masterpiece.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/20 - 6:31 PM
Dohm parks the bus and still concedes. One goal, no shots against, and a long flight back to Illinois — the Dohminator has had tidier afternoons.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/27 - 6:30 PM
Watford sweeper stopping 67% killed us
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/27 - 8:14 PM