(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17 Gk Carlos Ferreto 9 2 11
Sw Alistair Robinson 9 2 11 Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 14 0 14
Df Nicola Panucci 15 -1 14 Df Kwadwo Danlad 14 1 15
Df Marco Sa 13 1 14 Df Andrew Vaughan 9 2 11
Df Kyria Brozovic 9 2 11 Df Jan Janssens 5 2 7
Mf Minato Morishima 14 2 16 Df Lionel Torres 5 1 6
Mf Ousmane Laforest 9 2 11 Mf Enoch Gyan 14 0 14
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 15 2 17 Mf Sebastian Roos 5 2 7
Fw Jordan Pérez 16 1 17 Mf Logan Gates 5 2 7
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 2 13 Fw Roque Ramos 14 0 14
Fw Agustin Martinez 9 2 11 Fw Meliton Molina 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 11 39 27 58 ROSTER TOTALS 11 14 39 28 20
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 9 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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17 14 39 30 64 T O T A L S 11 14 39 39 20
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.1 (no red card)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.07 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.03 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.44 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.08 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.14 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.6 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.75 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.17 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.27 (no red card)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.75 (no red card)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.12 (no red card)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.27 (no red card)
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)
Df Lionel Torres: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.96 (no red card)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.03 (no red card)
Mf Sebastian Roos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.02 (no red card)
Mf Logan Gates: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.38 (no red card)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.74 (no second yellow)
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.7 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury)
Sw Alistair Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.46 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.78 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.74 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.39 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.71 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.42 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Abdou Karim Mbengue is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Abdou Karim Mbengue new match skill level = 8
Abdou Karim Mbengue new match total level = 10
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.46 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.41 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.11 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 38.8 (no injury)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.59 (no injury)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.34 (no injury)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.09 (no injury)
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.11 (no injury)
Df Lionel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.85 (no injury)
Mf Sebastian Roos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.24 (no injury)
Mf Logan Gates: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.14 (no injury)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.61 (no injury)
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.11 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 43 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Kwadwo Danlad SL 14
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 14 39 30 57
Derby County 11 14 39 39 20
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 18 (57 - 39); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 7 ((39 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Df Kyria Brozovic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Marco Sa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Df Kyria Brozovic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Nicola Panucci
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 44.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 97.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 11 14 39 39 20
Carlisle United 17 14 39 30 57
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 39)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 5 ((39 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Logan Gates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Logan Gates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 5 - DERBY COUNTY 0