(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gregory Reyna 15 2 17 Gk Craig Carsley 15 2 17
Sw Ramires Jesus 15 2 17 Sw Walter Wilson 14 2 16
Df Eirwyn Davey 15 2 17 Df Daley Hiddink 12 2 14
Df Jacob Beynon 13 2 15 Df Sakariya Hedman 11 2 13
Df Marco Sa 9 1 10 Df Edoardo Vecchi 8 -1 7
Mf Aliyu Edet 15 -1 14 Mf Clint Smith 15 1 16
Mf Marco D'amato 9 -1 8 Mf Tranquillo Fernandes 14 2 16
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 15 2 17 Mf Wayne Brees 8 2 10
Fw Ki Seon-min 12 2 14 Fw Greg Rashford 18 2 20
Fw John Skoras 11 2 13 Fw Formose Drame 12 2 14
Fw Jordan Pérez 9 2 11 Fw Bedwyr Brown 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 17 42 22 55 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 34 42 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 6 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 17 42 28 58 T O T A L S 17 16 34 42 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.73 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.56 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.43 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.22 (no second yellow)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.95 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.76 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.34 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.9 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.66 (no red card)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.51 (no red card)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.19 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.6 (no red card)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.69 (no red card)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.71 (no red card)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.08 (no red card)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.32 (no red card)
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.21 (no red card)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.6 (no red card)
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no red card)
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.35 (no red card)
Fw Formose Drame: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.43 (no red card)
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.43 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.82 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.55 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.74 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.96 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.1 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.5 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.9 (no injury)
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.36 (no injury)
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.5 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.72 (no injury)
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.14 (no injury)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.33 (no injury)
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.84 (no injury)
Df Edoardo Vecchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.29 (no injury)
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.3 (no injury)
Mf Tranquillo Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no injury)
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.82 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Wayne Brees is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.34 (no injury)
Fw Formose Drame: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Formose Drame is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Formose Drame new match skill level = 6
Formose Drame new match total level = 8
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.59 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eirwyn Davey SL 15
- Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 15
intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Greg Rashford SL 18
- Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 15
intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 17 42 28 58
Northampton Town FC 17 16 34 42 38
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 24 (58 - 34); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((42 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Df Jacob Beynon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw John Skoras
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Northampton Town FC 17 16 34 42 38
Carlisle United 17 17 42 28 58
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 42)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((42 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 7
1: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Wayne Brees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Clint Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Tranquillo Fernandes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Tough last home game of the season, and one we really need to win.
Dave (Carlisle United) 07/24 - 11:42 PM
We need to win also so should be brutal
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/25 - 6:00 PM
We want the title
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/25 - 8:04 PM
Close game but we couldn’t get over the line
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/27 - 9:59 AM