(N)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
FA Cup Semifinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Maddison 12 0 12 Gk Onel Rönnlund 16 2 18
Sw DongHyun Young-min 15 0 15 Sw Ludwig Süle 16 2 18
Df Matheus Robinho 14 2 16 Df Ibrahim Aggrey 16 -1 15
Df Jason McDiarmid 14 2 16 Df Walter Hamisu 16 2 18
Df Federico Zanetti 13 -2 11 Df Weston Protich 10 2 12
Df Ali Chukwu 8 0 8 Mf Arthur Goodwin 17 2 19
Mf Renato Ortega 12 1 13 Mf Kazuo Kawashima 12 2 14
Mf Minki Sung-yeung 10 2 12 Fw Geovanny Arley 13 2 15
Mf Boris Perisic 8 1 9 Fw Martyn Palmer 12 2 14
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 20 2 22 Fw Gustavo da Rocha 10 2 12
Fw Elias Mayer 14 2 16 Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 15 51 34 38 ROSTER TOTALS 18 18 45 33 53
1 1 0 2 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 16 51 36 39 T O T A L S 21 21 45 33 53
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 5
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 89.92 (no red card)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 66.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 92.33 (no red card)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 85.99 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 40.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 82.48 (no red card)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 9.26 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 36.6 (no second yellow)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 24.82 (no red card)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 82.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 19.74 (no red card)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 65.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 40.1 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 94.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 33.06 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 41.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 11.46 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.9 (no red card)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.35 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.56 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.16 (no red card)
Df Weston Protich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.02 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.97 (no red card)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.27 (no second yellow)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.08 (no red card)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 5
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 14.45 (no injury)
Sw DongHyun Young-min: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 72.04 (no injury)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 94.76 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.92 (no injury)
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.11 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.63 (no injury)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.76 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.71 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 90.08 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.19 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 5
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 79.19 (no injury)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 64.13 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 49.57 (no injury)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 32.42 (no injury)
Df Weston Protich: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 0.49 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Weston Protich is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 96.59 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 93.4 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 86.35 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.49 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 20
- Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 16
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Arthur Goodwin SL 17
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 13 16 51 36 39
Preston North End FC 21 21 45 33 53
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 45)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((36 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Mf Renato Ortega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Boris Perisic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 21 21 45 33 53
Brighton & Hove Albion 13 16 51 36 39
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 2 (53 - 51); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 2 ((45 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Walter Hamisu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
Match Notes
Beerman says he's unpredictable but Preston are his kryptonite. I-Man knows exactly what's coming. Watch for the sucker punch early.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 20 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
This is the fifth time Ian and I have clashed in the FA Cup. We're currently sitting on 3-1 record, so the best we seem to do vs PNE is in this Cup.
~ Brian ~ Jun 22 (Brighton & Hove Albion)
With our luck this season, a 4-1 record is inevitable
~ Ian ~ Jun 27 (Preston North End FC)
B-Squared grinds out a one-nil in the cup. I-Man'll be gutted but Beerman's lads wanted it more on the day. Preston's bane strikes again.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 27 (Blyth Spartans AFC)
I do sympathize with my friend Ian on the PK
~ Dave ~ Jun 27 (Lewes FC)
Wow! Happy to advance…and now face Lewes.
~ Brian ~ Jun 28 (Brighton & Hove Albion)
If it makes anyone feel better, we now have three players on red card and two injured.
~ Brian ~ Jun 28 (Brighton & Hove Albion)
And the trend continues: We can only beat PNE in the FA Cup.
~ Brian ~ Jul 5 (Brighton & Hove Albion)