(N)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Manuel Zakaria 12 2 14 Gk Kurt Östman 16 2 18
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior 6 2 8 Sw Thiago Boniek 16 -1 15
Df Jonas Gomes 6 1 7 Df Jean Courtial 9 2 11
Df Luis Ballestro 4 2 6 Df Nicomedes Martino 9 2 11
Mf Acario Finizio 4 2 6 Df Victor Rui 4 2 6
Mf Stefan Karas 4 2 6 Mf Taha Tagnaouti 8 2 10
Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo 4 0 4 Mf Marwan Sforza 4 2 6
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 14 2 16 Mf Fernando Bentancur 4 2 6
Fw Jakub Fabianski 12 2 14 Fw Paul Dumont 16 2 18
Fw Héctor Masis 6 2 8 Fw Ederson Fabinho 9 2 11
Fw Salvatore De luca 4 2 6 Fw Rico Santambrogio 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
14 0 21 16 44 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 28 22 35
0 0 0 1 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 0 21 17 47 T O T A L S 18 15 28 22 35
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.86 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.37 (no red card)
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.49 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior new match skill level = 3
Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior new match total level = 5
Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no red card)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.91 (no red card)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.58 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)
Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.49 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.09 (no red card)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.34 (no red card)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.16 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.64 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.36 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.32 (no red card)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.81 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.92 (no red card)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.19 (no red card)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.41 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.47 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.7 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.89 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.95 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.47 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 52.02 (no injury)
Df Luiz Henrique da Silva Júnior: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.86 (no injury)
Df Jonas Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.63 (no injury)
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.96 (no injury)
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.99 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.04 (no injury)
Mf Hyeon-u Hyeon-woo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.1 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.8 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.29 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.76 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.34 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.26 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.25 (no injury)
Df Jean Courtial: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.14 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.46 (no injury)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury)
Mf Taha Tagnaouti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.73 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.05 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.58 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.79 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.64 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.89 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Alhassan Baffoe SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 16
intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Paul Dumont SL 16
- Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 14 0 18 17 47
Nottingham Forest 18 15 28 22 35
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (47 - 28); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 35) / 5; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 15 28 22 35
Oldham Athletic AFC 14 0 18 17 47
Oldham Athletic AFC is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 9 (35 - 18) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 5 ((22 - 17) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Marwan Sforza
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Taha Tagnaouti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Bentancur
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 17.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Ederson Fabinho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
Match Notes
I like to try and predict my youth cup opponents line-ups. No chance here.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/11 - 6:31 PM
To be honest, I changed the team lineup 4 or 5 times this week. I just did it again. I'm not sure what to do. My wins in the first two games were a "gros coup de bol". Trying to predict might not be a good idea/strategy.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/12 - 5:14 PM
Not much I can do when my SL GK makes.0 saves but OLA's SL 14 saves 6 from.7.
Good luck in the semi-final Antoine
Good luck in the semi-final Antoine
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/12 - 6:24 PM
SL 18 GK*
Also probably ends our slim chance of winning the league.
Also probably ends our slim chance of winning the league.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 07/12 - 6:56 PM
A certain logic is respected. The team that attacked the most wins! With a lot of luck! Great match.
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/12 - 7:02 PM
The GK was out late last night.
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 07/14 - 4:28 AM