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Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
 
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
FA Shield Final
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        LINCOLN CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James          15    2   17     Gk Steven Chapuisat       16    2   18
Df Luis Ballestro         14    2   16     Sw Woo Hyun-soo           15    1   16
Df Ado Di matteo          14    2   16     Df Emir Selmi             19    2   21
Df Zinedine Castex        10    2   12     Df Aldair Gallardo        13    2   15
Df Giancarlo Astua         9    2   11     Mf Marc Bürki             13    2   15
Mf Acario Finizio         13    1   14     Mf Fabio Luis             11    2   13
Mf Mats Larsson           11    2   13     Mf Hernán Sancho          10    2   12
Mf Stefan Karas           10    2   12     Fw Thiago Araujo          14    2   16
Fw Bienvenido Godoy       14    2   16     Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong   14    1   15
Fw Salvatore De luca      13    0   13     Fw Victor Asensio         12    2   14
Fw Alhassan Baffoe        12    2   14     Fw Simão DaSilva          10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 55 39 43        ROSTER TOTALS      18 16 36 40 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  2  0  5  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 64 39 43         T O T A L S       18 18 36 45 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.49 (no red card)

Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.18 (no red card)

Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.04 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.2 (no red card)

Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.47 (no red card)

Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.82 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.0 (no red card)

Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.47 (no red card)

Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.3 (no red card)

Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.51 (no red card)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.08 (no red card)

Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.95 (no red card)

Df Emir Selmi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.77 (no red card)

Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.72 (no red card)

Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.45 (no red card)

Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.21 (no red card)

Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.22 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.88 (no red card)

Fw Victor Asensio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.54 (no red card)

Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.03 (no injury) 
Df Luis Ballestro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury) 
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.15 (no injury) 
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.54 (no injury) 
Df Giancarlo Astua: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.53 (no injury) 
Mf Acario Finizio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Karas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.65 (no injury) 
Fw Bienvenido Godoy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no injury) 
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.34 (no injury) 
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.92 (no injury) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Steven Chapuisat: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.74 (no injury) 
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no injury) 
Df Emir Selmi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.48 (no injury) 
Df Aldair Gallardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.87 (no injury) 
Mf Marc Bürki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.59 (no injury) 
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.27 (no injury) 
Mf Hernán Sancho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.22 (no injury) 
Fw Thiago Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.87 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.75 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Asensio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.61 (no injury) 
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.83 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Ballestro SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Steven Chapuisat SL 16

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Emir Selmi SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 15

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      19   0  64  39  43
  Lincoln City FC          18  18  36  45  60

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (43 - 36); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((64 - 60) / 5); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Luis Ballestro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Bienvenido Godoy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          18  18  36  45  60
  Oldham Athletic AFC      19   0  64  39  43

Oldham Athletic AFC is using Offside Trap!
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (60 - 64)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((45 - 39) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Marc Bürki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 7.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Marc Bürki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Marc Bürki
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Hernán Sancho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 88.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0  -  LINCOLN CITY FC 2
 

Match Notes

Antoine sets up at home, which usually means something — though Lincoln arrive quietly, as they tend to do. Watch the spaces behind Oldham's fullbacks.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 4 (Coventry City)  
Good luck gents. This would be Mike's second FA Shield trophy if he ends with the win.
~ Brian ~ Jul 5 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
Good luck, bring that trophy to MEDITECH!
~ Rob ~ Jul 11 (Plymouth Argyle FC)  
Good luck to both teams in the pursuit of the tin pot trophy. It is s till a trophy after all!
~ Vick ~ Jul 11 (Weston-super-Mare AFC)  
Come on Oldham 😂
~ Simon ~ Jul 11 (Northampton Town FC)  
Mike next time I come to play you get the decent stuff out 🥳
~ Simon ~ Jul 11 (Northampton Town FC)  
Mix of support (Rob) and NOT (Simon), we hope to make one of you happy and one of you not.
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Lincoln City FC)  
Best of luck, Antoine, this should be a good one!
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Lincoln City FC)  
Those two goals and three points put you in D2. Congratulations Mike!
~ Brian ~ Jul 11 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
Antoine's Oldham kept a clean sheet in their heads and nothing else. Lincoln did what the scoreline required. Efficient.
~ Olmec Head Marcus ~ Jul 11 (Coventry City)  
Ooops, this was the Cup. Still, great job by the Imps.
~ Brian ~ Jul 11 (Brighton & Hove Albion)  
Thanks, Brian, we did also promote in our final match, in part because BHA pushed WES to a draw.
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Lincoln City FC)  
Nice match and run, Antoine, we were fortunate to sneak a couple through vs OST.
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Lincoln City FC)  
Thanks. I wasn't expecting anything from this final. A win wouldn't have been deserved, considering the season I've had. Congratulations to the winner!👏
~ Antoine ~ Jul 11 (Oldham Athletic AFC)  
Congratulations C-Ball! Great shield run Antoine! 🏆
~ Allan ~ Jul 11 (Brentford FC)  
Unlucky Antoine. Congrats Mike
~ Carl ~ Jul 12 (Crewe Alexandra FC)  
Not much between the teams. Congrats Mike.
~ Andy ~ Jul 12 (Dorchester Town)  
Well done Mike I feel Oldham were hard done by
~ Simon ~ Jul 14 (Northampton Town FC)  
 
 
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